Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 March

Jelgava

L L L L D

10th place in Latvian Higher League

0-0

09/03/2024 10:00

BFC Daugavpils

D L L L D

5th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 09 March 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils preview before placing your bet.

Jelgava are currently 10th with 25 points after 36 matches.
BFC Daugavpils sit 5th with 42 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. BFC Daugavpils have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-03-09

Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils - Prediction & Odds

Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

2024-03-09 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FK Rigas Futbola skola	90	36	29	3	4	103	25	78
02 Riga FC	87	36	27	6	3	99	23	76
03 FK Auda Riga	60	36	18	6	12	63	34	29
04 FK Valmiera	55	36	19	7	10	75	39	36
05 BFC Daugavpils	42	36	11	9	16	43	60	-17
06 FK Liepaja	39	36	10	9	17	37	56	-19
07 Metta/LU Riga	36	36	10	6	20	34	76	-42
08 Tukums-2000	35	36	9	8	19	38	81	-43
09 Grobina	29	36	8	5	23	34	78	-44
10 Jelgava	25	36	6	7	23	28	82	-54

Head To Head

16/09/2023 07:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

30/06/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 1

Jelgava

LAT D1

26/05/2023 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

5 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

17/03/2023 11:59

Jelgava

2 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

27/09/2020 07:00

Jelgava

2 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

30/07/2020 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

Jelgava

33%

Draw

50%

BFC Daugavpils

17%

Jelgava Last 6 matches

24/02/2024 08:00

Suduva 3 - 0 Jelgava INT CF

17/02/2024 08:00

Paide Linnameeskond 1 - 0 Jelgava LIV WL

09/02/2024 09:00

Jelgava 1 - 3 FK Panevezys INT CF

04/02/2024 11:20

Jelgava 2 - 3 JK Tallinna Kalev LIV WL

31/01/2024 11:59

FC Flora Tallinn 1 - 3 Jelgava LIV WL

26/01/2024 07:30

Jelgava 0 - 2 Nomme JK Kalju LIV WL

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches BFC Daugavpils

25/02/2024 11:00

DFK Dainava Alytus 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

22/02/2024 08:00

Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

17/02/2024 11:40

Trans Narva 2 - 0 BFC Daugavpils LIV WL

11/02/2024 08:00

Parnu JK Vaprus 3 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LIV WL

10/02/2024 08:00

Suduva 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

02/02/2024 07:30

BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Tartu JK Maag Tammeka LIV WL

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

143

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

165

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

248

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 193 matches

YesNo

91 (47%)102 (53%)

In last 193 matches

NoYes

113 (46%)132 (54%)

Jelgava

Recent matches

BFC Daugavpils

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

Shots

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 3.17

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.62 avg / game

Blocked

133 total

Avg. 3.69

Jelgava Pass BFC Daugavpils

Total passes

12825

Avg. 366 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

13049

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Jelgava

193

Played games

BFC Daugavpils

245

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.24

3.43

662

Corners

880

3.59

4.07

786

Throw-ins

726

2.96

0.20

Offsides

0.36

0.71

137

GK saves

122

0.50

Jelgava

DISCIPLINARY

BFC Daugavpils

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.67

322

458

1.87

0.07

0.08

2.60

501

Fouls

555

2.27

2.46

475

Tackles

517

2.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

LAT

How We Build the Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 09 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Jelgava's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against BFC Daugavpils's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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