Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 October

Jelgava

D D D D D

6th place in Latvian Higher League

0-0

18/10/2025 11:00

BFC Daugavpils

L W D D L

4th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 18 October 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils preview before placing your bet.

Jelgava are currently 6th with 38 points after 36 matches.
BFC Daugavpils sit 4th with 48 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Jelgava to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors BFC Daugavpils, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Jelgava have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-10-18

Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils - Prediction & Odds

Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

2025-10-18 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	85	26	59
02 FK Rigas Futbola skola	87	36	28	3	5	100	39	61
03 FK Liepaja	61	36	18	7	11	59	55	4
04 BFC Daugavpils	48	36	13	9	14	52	62	-10
05 FK Auda Riga	45	36	13	6	17	44	49	-5
06 Jelgava	38	36	8	14	14	39	46	-7
07 Tukums-2000	36	36	9	9	18	39	63	-24
08 Grobina	32	36	8	8	20	33	64	-31
09 Super Nova	32	36	6	14	16	44	56	-12
10 Metta/LU Riga	31	36	8	7	21	39	74	-35

Head To Head

27/07/2025 12:00

BFC Daugavpils

2 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

25/05/2025 13:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

10/04/2025 14:30

Jelgava

4 - 1

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

01/09/2024 11:00

Jelgava

0 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

21/06/2024 15:00

BFC Daugavpils

3 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

03/05/2024 15:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

Jelgava

17%

Draw

17%

BFC Daugavpils

67%

Jelgava Last 6 matches

04/10/2025 13:00

Super Nova 1 - 1 Jelgava LAT D1

27/09/2025 11:00

Jelgava 1 - 1 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

21/09/2025 11:00

Jelgava 2 - 3 Riga FC LAT D1

13/09/2025 13:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 1 - 4 Jelgava LAT D1

29/08/2025 14:30

Grobina 3 - 2 Jelgava LAT D1

23/08/2025 12:00

Jelgava 1 - 1 Tukums-2000 LAT D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches BFC Daugavpils

05/10/2025 11:00

BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 FK Auda Riga LAT D1

29/09/2025 15:00

BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Riga FC LAT D1

21/09/2025 15:00

FK Rigas Futbola skola 5 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

15/09/2025 14:30

BFC Daugavpils 3 - 2 Grobina LAT D1

30/08/2025 13:00

Tukums-2000 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils LAT D1

23/08/2025 14:00

BFC Daugavpils 4 - 2 Metta/LU Riga LAT D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.46

Conceded

169

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 194 matches

YesNo

74 (38%)120 (62%)

In last 194 matches

NoYes

93 (38%)153 (62%)

Jelgava

Recent matches

BFC Daugavpils

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

Shots

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

113 total

Avg. 3.14

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.68 avg / game

Blocked

143 total

Avg. 3.86

Jelgava Pass BFC Daugavpils

Total passes

13292

Avg. 369 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

13458

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Jelgava

194

Played games

BFC Daugavpils

246

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.24

3.41

662

Corners

890

3.62

4.18

810

Throw-ins

747

3.04

0.20

Offsides

0.37

0.73

142

GK saves

126

0.51

Jelgava

DISCIPLINARY

BFC Daugavpils

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.67

324

461

1.87

0.07

0.08

2.65

515

Fouls

568

2.31

2.53

491

Tackles

525

2.13

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

FK Rigas Futbola skola

LAT

How We Build the Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 18 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Jelgava's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against BFC Daugavpils's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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