Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 March

Jelgava

D D W L L

6th place in Latvian Higher League

2 - 1

17/03/2023 15:59

BFC Daugavpils

W D L L W

7th place in Latvian Higher League

Latvian Higher League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 17 March 2023 (kick-off: 15:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils preview before placing your bet.

Jelgava are currently 6th with 40 points after 36 matches.
BFC Daugavpils sit 7th with 36 points from 36 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Jelgava, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. BFC Daugavpils have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Rigas Futbola skola	89	36	27	8	1	96	18	78
02 Riga FC	88	36	27	7	2	89	21	68
03 FK Auda Riga	58	36	16	10	10	44	39	5
04 FK Valmiera	53	36	14	11	11	47	40	7
05 FK Liepaja	51	36	14	9	13	52	54	-2
06 Jelgava	40	36	10	10	16	42	57	-15
07 BFC Daugavpils	36	36	9	9	18	40	52	-12
08 Tukums-2000	35	36	9	8	19	47	83	-36
09 Metta/LU Riga	33	36	8	9	19	41	63	-22
10 Super Nova	14	36	3	5	28	25	96	-71

Head To Head

27/09/2020 11:00

Jelgava

2 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

30/07/2020 15:00

BFC Daugavpils

0 - 0

Jelgava

LAT D1

20/06/2020 15:00

Jelgava

1 - 0

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

09/11/2019 12:00

BFC Daugavpils

2 - 2

Jelgava

LAT D1

25/08/2019 13:00

Jelgava

2 - 2

BFC Daugavpils

LAT D1

21/08/2019 14:00

BFC Daugavpils

1 - 2

Jelgava

LAT Cup

Jelgava

50%

Draw

50%

BFC Daugavpils

Jelgava Last 6 matches

04/03/2023 11:00

Jelgava 1 - 0 JDFS Alberts INT CF

24/02/2023 12:00

FK Panevezys 1 - 0 Jelgava INT CF

18/02/2023 13:00

FC Kuressaare 3 - 1 Jelgava INT CF

12/02/2023 15:00

Banga Gargzdai 2 - 1 Jelgava INT CF

04/02/2023 10:00

Jelgava 0 - 6 Rigas Futbola skola INT CF

28/01/2023 11:00

Siauliai 0 - 0 Jelgava INT CF

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches BFC Daugavpils

25/02/2023 13:00

Hegelmann Litauen 6 - 1 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

18/02/2023 14:00

Hegelmann Litauen 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

12/02/2023 15:00

Suduva 2 - 0 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

01/02/2023 12:30

Kauno Zalgiris 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

28/01/2023 17:30

FK Riteriai 2 - 0 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

20/01/2023 12:00

FK Panevezys 3 - 2 BFC Daugavpils INT CF

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Latvian Higher League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

143

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

165

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

248

Avg. per game

1.01

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 193 matches

YesNo

91 (47%)102 (53%)

In last 193 matches

NoYes

113 (46%)132 (54%)

Jelgava

Recent matches

BFC Daugavpils

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

Shots

Jelgava

Total shots

10.59 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 3.17

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots

9.62 avg / game

Blocked

133 total

Avg. 3.69

Jelgava Pass BFC Daugavpils

Total passes

12825

Avg. 366 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

13049

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Jelgava

193

Played games

BFC Daugavpils

245

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.24

3.43

662

Corners

880

3.59

4.07

786

Throw-ins

726

2.96

0.20

Offsides

0.36

0.71

137

GK saves

122

0.50

Jelgava

DISCIPLINARY

BFC Daugavpils

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.67

322

458

1.87

0.07

0.08

2.60

501

Fouls

555

2.27

2.46

475

Tackles

517

2.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on 17 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Latvian Higher League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Jelgava's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against BFC Daugavpils's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Latvian Higher League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Latvian Higher League standings and the Latvian Higher League form table to understand exactly where Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Latvian Higher League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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