Italy vs Malta: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 October

Italy

W D W L W

2nd place in Group C

4-0

14/10/2023 14:45

Malta

L W L L W

5th place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Malta on 14 October 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Malta preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 2nd with 14 points after 8 matches.
Malta sit 5th with 0 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 88%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 5 of the last 5 meetings. Malta have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-10-14

Italy vs Malta - Prediction & Odds

Italy

Malta

2023-10-14 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/10/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Head To Head

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta

0 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

03/09/2015 14:45

Italy

1 - 0

Malta

EURO Cup

13/10/2014 14:45

Malta

0 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

26/03/2013 15:45

Malta

0 - 2

Italy

WCPEU

11/09/2012 14:45

Italy

2 - 0

Malta

WCPEU

Italy

100%

Draw

Malta

Italy Last 6 matches

12/09/2023 14:45

Italy 2 - 1 Ukraine EURO Cup

09/09/2023 14:45

North Macedonia 1 - 1 Italy EURO Cup

18/06/2023 09:00

Netherlands 2 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

15/06/2023 14:45

Spain 2 - 1 Italy UEFA NL

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

23/03/2023 15:45

Italy 1 - 2 England EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Malta

12/09/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 North Macedonia EURO Cup

06/09/2023 14:00

Malta 1 - 0 Gibraltar INT FRL

19/06/2023 11:59

Ukraine 1 - 0 Malta EURO Cup

16/06/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 4 England EURO Cup

09/06/2023 14:15

Luxembourg 0 - 1 Malta INT FRL

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

Malta

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

Avg. per game

0.28

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

51 (60%)34 (40%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

15 (21%)56 (79%)

Italy

Recent matches

Malta

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)14 31(69%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

Malta

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Malta

Total shots

8.40 avg / game

Blocked

111 total

Avg. 2.71

Italy Pass Malta

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

16400

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

Malta

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.24

5.00

425

Corners

176

2.48

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

807

11.37

1.76

150

Offsides

0.92

1.89

161

GK saves

124

1.75

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

Malta

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

115

1.62

0.05

0.14

9.76

830

Fouls

584

8.23

9.71

825

Tackles

527

7.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs Malta Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Malta on 14 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Malta Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malta's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where Italy and Malta sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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