Italy vs Belgium: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 October

Italy

W W L D L

2nd place in Group B

2-2

10/10/2024 14:45

Belgium

L W L D W

3rd place in Group B

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Italy vs Belgium on 10 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Italy vs Belgium preview before placing your bet.

Italy are currently 2nd with 13 points after 6 matches.
Belgium sit 3rd with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Italy to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Belgium have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-10

Italy vs Belgium - Prediction & Odds

Italy

Belgium

2024-10-10 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 10/10/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 France	13	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Italy	13	6	4	1	1	13	8	5
03 Belgium	4	6	1	1	4	6	9	-3
04 Israel	4	6	1	1	4	5	13	-8

Head To Head

10/10/2021 09:00

Italy

2 - 1

Belgium

UEFA NL

02/07/2021 15:00

Belgium

1 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

13/06/2016 15:00

Belgium

0 - 2

Italy

EURO Cup

13/11/2015 15:45

Belgium

3 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

30/05/2008 14:50

Italy

3 - 1

Belgium

INT CF

Italy

80%

Draw

Belgium

20%

Italy Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 14:45

Israel 1 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

France 1 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

29/06/2024 11:59

Switzerland 2 - 0 Italy EURO Cup

24/06/2024 15:00

Croatia 1 - 1 Italy EURO Cup

20/06/2024 15:00

Spain 1 - 0 Italy EURO Cup

15/06/2024 15:00

Italy 2 - 1 Albania EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Belgium

09/09/2024 14:45

France 2 - 0 Belgium UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Belgium 3 - 1 Israel UEFA NL

01/07/2024 11:59

France 1 - 0 Belgium EURO Cup

26/06/2024 11:59

Ukraine 0 - 0 Belgium EURO Cup

22/06/2024 15:00

Belgium 2 - 0 Romania EURO Cup

17/06/2024 11:59

Belgium 0 - 1 Slovakia EURO Cup

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Italy

Belgium

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

109

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 85 matches

YesNo

50 (59%)35 (41%)

In last 85 matches

NoYes

56 (62%)34 (38%)

Italy

Recent matches

Belgium

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Italy

Belgium

Shots

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Belgium

Total shots

14.44 avg / game

Blocked

269 total

Avg. 4.08

Italy Pass Belgium

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

38357

Avg. 572 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Italy

Played games

Belgium

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.43

5.00

425

Corners

476

5.29

13.31

1131

Throw-ins

1154

12.82

1.76

150

Offsides

138

1.53

1.89

161

GK saves

172

1.91

Italy

DISCIPLINARY

Belgium

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.44

122

1.08

0.05

0.02

9.76

830

Fouls

784

8.71

9.71

825

Tackles

752

8.36

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Italy vs Belgium Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Italy vs Belgium on 10 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Italy vs Belgium Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Italy's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Belgium's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Italy and Belgium sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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