Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Itabirito

D L W L D

7th place in League

0-2

28/01/2024 10:00

Villa Nova-MG

W D L D L

9th place in League

Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG on 28 January 2024 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG preview before placing your bet.

Itabirito are currently 7th with 8 points after 8 matches.
Villa Nova-MG sit 9th with 8 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Itabirito to win with probability 42%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2024-01-28

Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG - Prediction & Odds

Itabirito

Villa Nova-MG

2024-01-28 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Cruzeiro	19	8	6	1	1	15	5	10
02 America MG	18	8	5	3	0	18	2	16
03 Tombense	15	8	4	3	1	15	7	8
04 Atletico Mineiro	14	8	4	2	2	14	6	8
05 Athletic Club MG	13	8	4	1	3	14	10	4
06 Pouso Alegre	9	8	3	0	5	6	15	-9
07 Itabirito	8	8	2	2	4	8	12	-4
08 Uberlandia MG	8	8	2	2	4	7	11	-4
09 Villa Nova-MG	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
10 CA Patrocinense	8	8	2	2	4	7	14	-7
11 Ipatinga	7	8	2	1	5	9	17	-8
12 Democrata	7	8	2	1	5	7	16	-9

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Democrata	9	4	3	0	1	11	5	6
02 Ipatinga	9	4	3	0	1	11	7	4
03 CA Patrocinense	0	4	0	0	4	0	10	-10

Itabirito Last 6 matches

24/01/2024 19:30

Democrata 1 - 3 Itabirito BRA MG

05/08/2023 13:30

Itabirito 1 - 1 Betim FC BRB MG

02/08/2023 18:30

Uberlandia MG 2 - 3 Itabirito BRB MG

29/07/2023 14:30

Aymores 3 - 4 Itabirito BRB MG

22/07/2023 13:30

Itabirito 2 - 0 Uniao Recreativa dos Trabalhadores MG/URT BRB MG

12/07/2023 13:30

Itabirito 1 - 0 Aymores BRB MG

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Villa Nova-MG

24/01/2024 18:00

Villa Nova-MG 1 - 2 Cruzeiro BRA MG

01/04/2023 17:00

Tombense 3 - 2 Villa Nova-MG BRA MG

26/03/2023 15:00

Villa Nova-MG 1 - 2 Tombense BRA MG

19/03/2023 15:00

Villa Nova-MG 2 - 0 Democrata BRA MG

13/03/2023 19:30

Democrata 0 - 2 Villa Nova-MG BRA MG

04/03/2023 15:30

Villa Nova-MG 1 - 0 CA Patrocinense BRA MG

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Campeonato Mine...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Itabirito

Villa Nova-MG

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 58 matches

YesNo

28 (48%)30 (52%)

In last 58 matches

NoYes

39 (47%)44 (53%)

Itabirito

Recent matches

Villa Nova-MG

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Itabirito

Villa Nova-MG

Shots

Itabirito

Total shots

10.95 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 2.00

Villa Nova-MG

Total shots

8.18 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. 0.00

Itabirito Pass Villa Nova-MG

Total passes

2569

Avg. 285 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

327

Avg. 327 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Itabirito

Played games

Villa Nova-MG

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.28

4.81

279

Corners

307

3.70

2.71

157

Throw-ins

0.95

0.26

Offsides

0.05

0.29

GK saves

0.06

Itabirito

DISCIPLINARY

Villa Nova-MG

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

143

186

2.24

0.14

0.10

3.09

179

Fouls

0.30

1.22

Tackles

0.12

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG on 28 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Itabirito vs Villa Nova-MG Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Itabirito's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villa Nova-MG's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1 standings and the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Itabirito and Villa Nova-MG sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Campeonato Mineiro Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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