Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 April

Independiente Santa Fe

D L W W D

3rd place in Group E

1-1

09/04/2026 22:00

CA Penarol

W L W W W

4th place in Group E

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol on 09 April 2026 (kick-off: 22:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Independiente Santa Fe are currently 3rd with 8 points after 6 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 3 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente Santa Fe to win with probability 44%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:00

2026-04-09

Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Independiente Santa Fe

CA Penarol

2026-04-09 22:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/04/2026

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	11	6	3	2	1	8	4	4
02 CA Platense	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
03 Independiente Santa Fe	8	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1
04 CA Penarol	3	6	0	3	3	4	8	-4

Independiente Santa Fe Last 6 matches

04/04/2026 20:30

Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

01/04/2026 19:30

Independiente Santa Fe 0 - 1 Llaneros FC COL D1

27/03/2026 21:10

Atletico Bucaramanga 1 - 2 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

23/03/2026 17:10

Independiente Santa Fe 2 - 1 Dep.Independiente Medellin COL D1

18/03/2026 21:30

Deportivo Cali 1 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe COL D1

14/03/2026 21:30

Independiente Santa Fe 1 - 1 Alianza Petrolera COL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

04/04/2026 17:55

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

29/03/2026 18:25

CA Penarol 1 - 2 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

25/03/2026 19:30

Boston River 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

21/03/2026 18:30

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

14/03/2026 19:30

Albion FC 0 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

07/03/2026 19:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio FC URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Independiente Santa Fe

300

CA Penarol

300

Goals

Scored

217

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

175

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

153 (51%)147 (49%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Independiente Santa Fe

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente Santa Fe

CA Penarol

Shots

Independiente Santa Fe

Total shots

9.94 avg / game

Blocked

424 total

Avg. 2.72

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Independiente Santa Fe Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

76282

Avg. 315 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente Santa Fe

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente Santa Fe

OTHERS

Independiente Santa Fe

300

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

135

0.45

4.14

1241

Corners

1370

4.57

6.21

1862

Throw-ins

472

1.57

1.26

378

Offsides

0.29

2.20

661

GK saves

424

1.41

Independiente Santa Fe

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.43

729

609

2.03

0.14

0.10

9.68

2904

Fouls

638

2.13

8.70

2611

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Independiente Santa Fe

Deportiva Once Caldas

COL

08/05

Deportivo Pereira

Independiente Santa Fe

COL

08/05

Independiente Santa Fe

Union Magdalena

COL

08/08

Independiente Santa Fe

Boyaca Chico

COL

08/12

Independiente Santa Fe

River Plate

CON

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol on 09 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente Santa Fe vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente Santa Fe's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Independiente Santa Fe and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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