Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 March

Independiente del Valle

W W W W W

1st place in Primera Division de Ecuador

3-1

07/03/2026 17:30

Mushuc Runa

L L W D L

11th place in Primera Division de Ecuador

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 07 March 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa preview before placing your bet.

Independiente del Valle are currently 1st with 55 points after 22 matches.
Mushuc Runa sit 11th with 28 points from 23 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Mushuc Runa have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-03-07

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa - Prediction & Odds

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

2026-03-07 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 07/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	55	22	18	1	3	55	22	33
02 Universidad Catolica	39	23	11	6	6	38	19	19
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	38	23	11	5	7	26	25	1
04 Macara	35	22	10	5	7	28	22	6
05 Barcelona SC(ECU)	34	22	9	7	6	23	17	6
06 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	32	22	9	5	8	21	17	4
07 Leones del Norte	31	22	8	7	7	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Cuenca	31	22	9	4	9	21	27	-6
09 Libertad FC	30	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2
10 Guayaquil City	28	22	7	7	8	19	23	-4
11 Mushuc Runa	28	23	7	7	9	29	34	-5
12 Club Sport Emelec	28	23	7	7	9	19	28	-9
13 Orense SC	26	23	7	5	11	27	35	-8
14 Tecnico Universitario	26	23	8	2	13	20	29	-9
15 Delfin SC	23	22	6	5	11	13	21	-8
16 Manta FC	14	23	3	5	15	9	29	-20

Head To Head

20/09/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 2

Independiente del Valle

ECU LPSA

19/08/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa

2 - 1

Independiente del Valle

CON CSA

12/08/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Mushuc Runa

CON CSA

23/05/2025 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU LPSA

05/10/2024 12:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU LPSA

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU LPSA

Independiente del Valle

50%

Draw

33%

Mushuc Runa

17%

Independiente del Valle Last 6 matches

02/03/2026 20:30

Manta FC 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU LPSA

26/02/2026 20:55

Independiente del Valle 1 - 2 Inter Miami CF INT CF

22/02/2026 19:00

Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 Guayaquil City ECU LPSA

21/12/2025 17:30

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Barcelona SC(ECU) ECU LPSA

14/12/2025 17:30

Universidad Catolica 0 - 1 Independiente del Valle ECU LPSA

10/12/2025 18:00

Independiente del Valle 0 - 0 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito ECU LPSA

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Mushuc Runa

01/03/2026 15:30

Mushuc Runa 0 - 0 Universidad Catolica ECU LPSA

21/02/2026 15:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 1 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU LPSA

29/11/2025 15:00

Vinotinto de Ecuador 0 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU LPSA

22/11/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa 1 - 0 Tecnico Universitario ECU LPSA

08/11/2025 15:00

Manta FC 3 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU LPSA

01/11/2025 15:00

Tecnico Universitario 0 - 0 Mushuc Runa ECU LPSA

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Mushuc Runa

224

Goals

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

171 (57%)129 (43%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

103 (46%)121 (54%)

Independiente del Valle

Recent matches

Mushuc Runa

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa

Shots

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

10.80 avg / game

Blocked

203 total

Avg. 2.90

Independiente del Valle Pass Mushuc Runa

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

30667

Avg. 269 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

OTHERS

Independiente del Valle

300

Played games

Mushuc Runa

224

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

121

Clean sheets

0.27

5.21

1563

Corners

1029

4.59

3.28

983

Throw-ins

856

3.82

1.13

339

Offsides

329

1.47

1.71

513

GK saves

566

2.53

Independiente del Valle

DISCIPLINARY

Mushuc Runa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

648

580

2.59

0.14

0.21

9.27

2782

Fouls

2697

12.04

5.61

1682

Tackles

1223

5.46

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Tecnico Universitario

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Mushuc Runa

ECU

How We Build the Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 07 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente del Valle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mushuc Runa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Independiente del Valle and Mushuc Runa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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