Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 02 August

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

1-0

02/08/2025 20:00

CD El Nacional

W W W L L

11th place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional on 02 August 2025 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional preview before placing your bet.

Independiente del Valle are currently 1st with 64 points after 30 matches.
CD El Nacional sit 11th with 34 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Independiente del Valle and CD El Nacional have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2025-08-02

Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional - Prediction & Odds

Independiente del Valle

CD El Nacional

2025-08-02 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/08/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

14/04/2025 17:30

CD El Nacional

1 - 3

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

27/11/2024 16:00

Independiente del Valle

0 - 1

CD El Nacional

ECU CUP

03/11/2024 14:00

Independiente del Valle

2 - 0

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

12/05/2024 14:00

CD El Nacional

1 - 2

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

02/12/2023 13:30

CD El Nacional

2 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

16/06/2023 20:00

Independiente del Valle

3 - 4

CD El Nacional

ECU D1

Independiente del Valle

50%

Draw

CD El Nacional

50%

Independiente del Valle Last 6 matches

27/07/2025 19:00

Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

22/07/2025 20:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle CON CSA

18/07/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas ECU D1

15/07/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Vasco da Gama CON CSA

11/07/2025 20:00

Macara 1 - 2 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

05/07/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 Barcelona SC(ECU) ECU D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches CD El Nacional

25/07/2025 20:00

CD El Nacional 2 - 2 Libertad FC ECU D1

19/07/2025 17:30

Orense SC 1 - 1 CD El Nacional ECU D1

14/07/2025 20:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 1 - 0 CD El Nacional ECU D1

11/07/2025 16:30

22 de Julio 0 - 3 CD El Nacional ECU CUP

06/07/2025 16:30

CD El Nacional 1 - 0 Manta FC ECU D1

29/06/2025 14:00

Tecnico Universitario 0 - 0 CD El Nacional ECU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

CD El Nacional

242

Goals

Scored

254

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

176

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

171 (57%)129 (43%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

121 (50%)121 (50%)

Independiente del Valle

Recent matches

CD El Nacional

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Independiente del Valle

CD El Nacional

Shots

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

CD El Nacional

Total shots

11.87 avg / game

Blocked

135 total

Avg. 2.65

Independiente del Valle Pass CD El Nacional

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

Total passes

25475

Avg. 280 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

OTHERS

Independiente del Valle

300

Played games

CD El Nacional

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

121

Clean sheets

0.26

5.21

1563

Corners

1130

4.67

3.28

983

Throw-ins

554

2.29

1.13

339

Offsides

249

1.03

1.71

513

GK saves

293

1.21

Independiente del Valle

DISCIPLINARY

CD El Nacional

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

648

591

2.44

0.14

0.20

9.27

2782

Fouls

1619

6.69

5.61

1682

Tackles

1012

4.18

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

NEXT MATCHES

CD Independiente Juniors

CD El Nacional

ECU

How We Build the Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional on 02 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Independiente del Valle's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CD El Nacional's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Independiente del Valle and CD El Nacional sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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