Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 03

Prediction

Iceland

L L D D L

3rd place in Group D

? - ?

03/10/2026 12:00

Bulgaria

D L W W W

4th place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Iceland vs Bulgaria on October 03, 2026 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Iceland vs Bulgaria preview before placing for you.

Iceland are currently 3rd with 0 points after 0 matches.
Bulgaria sit 4th with 0 points from 0 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 03/10/2026

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Estonia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
02 Luxembourg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
03 Iceland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
04 Bulgaria	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Iceland Last 6 matches

10/06/2026 08:00

Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

31/05/2026 17:25

Japan 1 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

01/04/2026 00:35

Haiti 1 - 1 Iceland International Friendly

29/03/2026 00:20

Canada 2 - 2 Iceland International Friendly

26/02/2026 09:00

Mexico 4 - 0 Iceland International Friendly

17/11/2025 00:00

Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Bulgaria

06/06/2026 00:00

Moldova 2 - 2 Bulgaria International Friendly

01/06/2026 23:00

Bulgaria 0 - 1 Montenegro International Friendly

30/03/2026 20:00

Indonesia 0 - 1 Bulgaria World FIFA Series

27/03/2026 15:30

Solomon Islands 2 - 10 Bulgaria International Friendly

19/11/2025 02:45

Bulgaria 2 - 1 Georgia FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

16/11/2025 00:00

Turkey 2 - 0 Bulgaria FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Played games

Iceland

Bulgaria

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 32 home matches

YesNo

26 (81%)6 (19%)

In last 32 home matches

NoYes

23 (72%)9 (28%)

Iceland

Recent matches

Bulgaria

Under /Over

(81%)26 6(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)23 9(28%)

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)14 18(56%)

Under /Over

(44%)14 18(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)13 19(59%)

/Yes

(53%)17 15(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)18 14(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Iceland

Bulgaria

Shots

Iceland

Total shots

10.68 avg / game

Blocked

43 total

Avg. 2.26

Bulgaria

Total shots

8.92 avg / game

Blocked

44 total

Avg. 2.32

Iceland Pass Bulgaria

Total passes

8506

Avg. 425 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

8112

Avg. 406 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Iceland

Played games

Bulgaria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.19

3.16

101

Corners

2.59

12.38

396

Throw-ins

392

12.25

0.88

Offsides

1.34

1.91

GK saves

1.75

Iceland

DISCIPLINARY

Bulgaria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.19

1.81

0.06

0.09

8.66

277

Fouls

314

9.81

7.53

241

Tackles

254

7.94

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Iceland vs Bulgaria on 03 October 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Iceland vs Bulgaria Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Iceland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bulgaria's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Iceland and Bulgaria sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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