Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 February

Heracles Almelo

L W W D D

No standing data

2-2

Pen. 3-4

27/02/2025 15:00

AZ Alkmaar

W D W W W

No standing data

KNVB Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar on 27 February 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors AZ Alkmaar, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Heracles Almelo have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-02-27

Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar - Prediction & Odds

Heracles Almelo

AZ Alkmaar

2025-02-27 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/02/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Heracles Almelo and AZ Alkmaar in the KNVB Cup football standings for the 2024-2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

01/12/2024 09:30

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

03/04/2024 12:45

Heracles Almelo

5 - 0

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

28/09/2023 14:00

AZ Alkmaar

1 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

19/02/2022 16:00

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

15/12/2021 13:00

AZ Alkmaar

4 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOLC

19/09/2021 10:45

Heracles Almelo

3 - 2

AZ Alkmaar

HOL D1

Heracles Almelo

33%

Draw

17%

AZ Alkmaar

50%

Heracles Almelo Last 6 matches

16/02/2025 11:45

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

08/02/2025 11:30

Heracles Almelo 4 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles HOL D1

04/02/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 2 - 0 FC Utrecht HOLC

31/01/2025 15:00

NAC Breda 1 - 1 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

28/01/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

24/01/2025 15:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 FC Utrecht HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches AZ Alkmaar

23/02/2025 11:45

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 0 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

20/02/2025 13:45

Galatasaray 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar UEFA EL

13/02/2025 16:00

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Galatasaray UEFA EL

09/02/2025 11:45

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

06/02/2025 15:00

AZ Alkmaar 3 - 1 Quick Boys HOLC

02/02/2025 15:00

Willem II 0 - 2 AZ Alkmaar HOL D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues KNVB Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

218

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

256

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

320

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 270 matches

YesNo

138 (51%)132 (49%)

In last 270 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Heracles Almelo

Recent matches

AZ Alkmaar

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Heracles Almelo

AZ Alkmaar

Shots

Heracles Almelo

Total shots

11.30 avg / game

Blocked

506 total

Avg. 2.96

AZ Alkmaar

Total shots

13.84 avg / game

Blocked

805 total

Avg. 3.61

Heracles Almelo Pass AZ Alkmaar

Total passes

81609

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

125977

Avg. 498 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Heracles Almelo

270

Played games

AZ Alkmaar

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.31

4.70

1269

Corners

1626

5.42

14.33

3870

Throw-ins

4240

14.13

1.32

356

Offsides

492

1.64

2.94

795

GK saves

629

2.10

Heracles Almelo

DISCIPLINARY

AZ Alkmaar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

398

476

1.59

0.06

0.05

9.53

2574

Fouls

2953

9.84

12.29

3319

Tackles

3788

12.63

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar on 27 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this KNVB Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Heracles Almelo vs AZ Alkmaar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Heracles Almelo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AZ Alkmaar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

KNVB Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live KNVB Cup standings and the KNVB Cup form table to understand exactly where Heracles Almelo and AZ Alkmaar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our KNVB Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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