Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Heracles Almelo

L L L L L

18th place in Holland Eredivisie

0-3

11/04/2026 19:00

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Heracles Almelo are currently 18th with 19 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 5th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Heracles Almelo have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2026-04-11

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

2026-04-11 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

24/08/2025 14:45

AFC Ajax

2 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

16/02/2025 15:45

AFC Ajax

4 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

20/10/2024 12:30

Heracles Almelo

3 - 4

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

27/01/2024 20:00

Heracles Almelo

2 - 4

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

12/08/2023 18:00

AFC Ajax

4 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

06/02/2022 15:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

Heracles Almelo

Draw

AFC Ajax

100%

Heracles Almelo Last 6 matches

20/03/2026 19:00

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 Excelsior SBV HOL D1

15/03/2026 13:30

AZ Alkmaar 4 - 0 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

06/03/2026 19:00

Heracles Almelo 0 - 0 FC Utrecht HOL D1

28/02/2026 17:45

Heracles Almelo 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

22/02/2026 13:30

Go Ahead Eagles 4 - 0 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

14/02/2026 15:30

Heracles Almelo 0 - 1 NAC Breda HOL D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

25/03/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 Volendam INT CF

22/03/2026 13:30

Feyenoord 1 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

14/03/2026 20:00

AFC Ajax 4 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

07/03/2026 15:30

Groningen 3 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

01/03/2026 11:15

PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 AFC Ajax HOL D1

21/02/2026 20:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

218

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

256

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

333

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 270 matches

YesNo

138 (51%)132 (49%)

In last 270 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Heracles Almelo

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

Shots

Heracles Almelo

Total shots

11.30 avg / game

Blocked

506 total

Avg. 2.96

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.01 avg / game

Blocked

916 total

Avg. 3.98

Heracles Almelo Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

81609

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

146385

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Heracles Almelo

270

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.70

1269

Corners

1708

5.69

14.33

3870

Throw-ins

4360

14.53

1.32

356

Offsides

496

1.65

2.94

795

GK saves

764

2.55

Heracles Almelo

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

398

441

1.47

0.06

0.08

9.53

2574

Fouls

2940

9.80

12.29

3319

Tackles

3611

12.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Heracles Almelo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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