Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 January

Heracles Almelo

W L L L L

14th place in Holland Eredivisie

2-4

27/01/2024 16:00

AFC Ajax

L W D W W

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax on 27 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Heracles Almelo are currently 14th with 33 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 5th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Heracles Almelo have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-27

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

2024-01-27 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	91	34	29	4	1	111	21	90
02 Feyenoord	84	34	26	6	2	92	26	66
03 FC Twente Enschede	69	34	21	6	7	69	36	33
04 AZ Alkmaar	65	34	19	8	7	70	39	31
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	15	11	8	74	61	13
06 NEC Nijmegen	53	34	14	11	9	68	51	17
07 FC Utrecht	50	34	13	11	10	49	47	2
08 Sparta Rotterdam	49	34	14	7	13	51	48	3
09 Go Ahead Eagles	46	34	12	10	12	47	46	1
10 Fortuna Sittard	38	34	9	11	14	37	56	-19
11 SC Heerenveen	37	34	10	7	17	53	70	-17
12 PEC Zwolle	36	34	9	9	16	45	67	-22
13 Almere City FC	34	34	7	13	14	33	59	-26
14 Heracles Almelo	33	34	9	6	19	41	74	-33
15 RKC Waalwijk	29	34	7	8	19	38	56	-18
16 Excelsior SBV	29	34	6	11	17	50	73	-23
17 Volendam	19	34	4	7	23	34	88	-54
18 Vitesse Arnhem	6	34	6	6	22	30	74	-44

Head To Head

12/08/2023 14:00

AFC Ajax

4 - 1

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

06/02/2022 11:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

30/10/2021 12:45

Heracles Almelo

0 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

13/02/2021 13:45

Heracles Almelo

0 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

22/11/2020 07:15

AFC Ajax

5 - 0

Heracles Almelo

HOL D1

23/02/2020 11:45

Heracles Almelo

1 - 0

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

Heracles Almelo

17%

Draw

17%

AFC Ajax

67%

Heracles Almelo Last 6 matches

20/01/2024 13:45

Heracles Almelo 1 - 1 Volendam HOL D1

12/01/2024 15:00

RKC Waalwijk 1 - 2 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

07/01/2024 08:00

PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Heracles Almelo INT CF

17/12/2023 09:30

Heracles Almelo 0 - 4 Feyenoord HOL D1

10/12/2023 11:45

Vitesse Arnhem 2 - 0 Heracles Almelo HOL D1

02/12/2023 16:00

Heracles Almelo 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

14/01/2024 09:30

Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 3 AFC Ajax HOL D1

07/01/2024 08:00

Hannover 96 1 - 2 AFC Ajax INT CF

06/01/2024 11:00

AFC Ajax 0 - 3 Hannover 96 INT CF

21/12/2023 13:45

USV Hercules 3 - 2 AFC Ajax HOLC

17/12/2023 11:45

AFC Ajax 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle HOL D1

14/12/2023 16:00

AFC Ajax 3 - 1 AEK Athens UEFA EL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

173

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored

315

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 270 matches

YesNo

123 (46%)147 (54%)

In last 270 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Heracles Almelo

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax

Shots

Heracles Almelo

Total shots

11.30 avg / game

Blocked

506 total

Avg. 2.96

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

918 total

Avg. 3.99

Heracles Almelo Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

81609

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

146232

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Heracles Almelo

270

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

101

0.34

4.70

1269

Corners

1710

5.70

14.33

3870

Throw-ins

4373

14.58

1.32

356

Offsides

496

1.65

2.94

795

GK saves

765

2.55

Heracles Almelo

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

398

441

1.47

0.06

0.08

9.53

2574

Fouls

2938

9.79

12.29

3319

Tackles

3603

12.01

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax on 27 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Heracles Almelo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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