Heraclea vs Paganese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Heraclea

W L L L L

No standing data

1-2

11/01/2026 07:00

Paganese

L D W W L

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Heraclea vs Paganese on 11 January 2026 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Heraclea vs Paganese preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 37%.
Head-to-head history favors Heraclea, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Paganese have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:00

2026-01-11

Heraclea vs Paganese - Prediction & Odds

Heraclea

Paganese

2026-01-11 07:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Heraclea and Paganese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

14/09/2025 07:05

Paganese

0 - 1

Heraclea

ITA S4

Heraclea

100%

Draw

Paganese

Heraclea Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 07:00

Real Agro Aversa 0 - 2 Heraclea ITA S4

21/12/2025 07:00

Ferrandina 2 - 1 Heraclea ITA S4

14/12/2025 07:10

Heraclea 0 - 1 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4

07/12/2025 07:30

Barletta 1 - 0 Heraclea ITA S4

29/11/2025 10:00

Heraclea 0 - 2 Pompei ITA S4

23/11/2025 06:30

Manfredonia 2 - 0 Heraclea ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Paganese

04/01/2026 07:00

Paganese 0 - 1 Nardo ITA S4

21/12/2025 07:15

Paganese 0 - 0 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

14/12/2025 06:30

SS Nola 1925 0 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

07/12/2025 07:30

Paganese 1 - 0 FBC Gravina ITA S4

30/11/2025 06:30

Afragolese 1944 2 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

23/11/2025 07:00

Paganese 1 - 0 Real Agro Aversa ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Heraclea

Paganese

224

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 35 matches

YesNo

12 (34%)23 (66%)

In last 35 matches

NoYes

101 (45%)123 (55%)

Heraclea

Recent matches

Paganese

Under /Over

(57%)20 15(43%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(31%)11 24(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(20%)7 28(80%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

/Yes

(46%)16 19(54%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Heraclea

Paganese

Shots

Heraclea

Total shots

6.09 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Heraclea Pass Paganese

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Heraclea

Played games

Paganese

224

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.34

1.00

Corners

649

2.90

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.40

Offsides

0.12

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Heraclea

DISCIPLINARY

Paganese

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.69

395

1.76

0.06

0.10

1.54

Fouls

0.44

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Heraclea vs Paganese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Heraclea vs Paganese on 11 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Heraclea vs Paganese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Heraclea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paganese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Heraclea and Paganese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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