Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 August

Hamburger SV
LLLWW
13th place in German Bundesliga
1
0-2
FT
29/08/2025 14:30
St. Pauli
LDLLL
18th place in German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli on 29 August 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

  • Hamburger SV are currently 13th with 38 points after 34 matches.
  • St. Pauli sit 18th with 26 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Hamburger SV to win with probability 41%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Hamburger SV, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. St. Pauli have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:30

2025-08-29

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli - Prediction & Odds

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
2025-08-29 14:30
41
28
31
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.22
FT
0-2 0-1
-
weather
21℃～22℃
STANDINGS UP TO 29/08/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
89 34 28 5 1 122 36 86
02 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
73 34 22 7 5 70 34 36
03 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 66 47 19
04 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
62 34 18 8 8 71 49 22
05 TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim
61 34 18 7 9 65 52 13
06 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
59 34 17 8 9 68 47 21
07 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
47 34 13 8 13 51 57 -6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
44 34 11 11 12 61 65 -4
09 Augsburg Augsburg
43 34 12 7 15 45 61 -16
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
40 34 10 10 14 44 53 -9
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin
39 34 10 9 15 44 58 -14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia Monchengladbach
38 34 9 11 14 42 53 -11
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
38 34 9 11 14 40 54 -14
14 FC Koln FC Koln
32 34 7 11 16 49 63 -14
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
32 34 8 8 18 37 60 -23
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 45 69 -24
17 Heidenheimer Heidenheimer
26 34 6 8 20 41 72 -31
18 St. Pauli St. Pauli
26 34 6 8 20 29 60 -31
Head To Head
03/05/2024 12:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1 - 0
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
01/12/2023 13:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
2 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
21/04/2023 12:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 - 3
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
14/10/2022 12:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
21/01/2022 13:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
2 - 1
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
13/08/2021 12:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
3 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
Hamburger SV
3
50%
Draw
1
17%
St. Pauli
2
33%
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Last 6 matches
24/08/2025 11:30
Borussia Monchengladbach 0 - 0 Hamburger SV GER D1
16/08/2025 07:00
FK Pirmasens 1 - 1 Hamburger SV GERC
09/08/2025 14:00
Mallorca 2 - 0 Hamburger SV INT CF
26/07/2025 09:00
Hamburger SV 0 - 4 Lyon INT CF
19/07/2025 10:00
Sturm Graz 2 - 1 Hamburger SV INT CF
12/07/2025 10:10
FC Copenhagen 1 - 0 Hamburger SV INT CF
Win
0%
Draw
33%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches St. Pauli St. Pauli
23/08/2025 12:30
St. Pauli 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund GER D1
16/08/2025 09:30
Eintracht Norderstedt 0 - 0 St. Pauli GERC
09/08/2025 10:00
Verona 0 - 1 St. Pauli INT CF
02/08/2025 10:30
Coventry City 2 - 2 St. Pauli INT CF
26/07/2025 09:00
Nice 0 - 2 St. Pauli INT CF
20/07/2025 10:00
St. Pauli 6 - 1 Karlsruher SC INT CF
Win
50%
Draw
50%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
17
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
16
Goals
Scored
13
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
10
Avg. per game
0.59
Scored
11
Avg. per game
0.69
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
1.19
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 17 home matches
YesNo
9 (53%)8 (47%)
In last 17 home matches
NoYes
8 (50%)8 (50%)
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Recent matches

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(81%)13 3(19%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)4 12(75%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

/Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(63%)10 6(37%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Shots
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Total shots
13.24 avg / game
Blocked
58 total
Avg. 3.41
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Total shots
10.56 avg / game
Blocked
43 total
Avg. 2.69
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Pass St. Pauli St. Pauli
Total passes
6598
Avg. 388 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
6919
Avg. 432 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
45%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1481
Avg. 87.12 / game
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
1619
Avg. 101.19 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
652
Avg. 38.35 / game
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
731
Avg. 45.69 / game
OTHERS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
17
Played games
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
16
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.12
2
Clean sheets
2
0.13
3.71
63
Corners
92
5.75
17.18
292
Throw-ins
340
21.25
1.35
23
Offsides
35
2.19
2.35
40
GK saves
52
3.25
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
DISCIPLINARY
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.18
37
Yellow card
27
1.69
0.18
3
Red card
1
0.06
12.06
205
Fouls
156
9.75
9.47
161
Tackles
165
10.31
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VS
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER

How We Build the Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli on 29 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Hamburger SV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where Hamburger SV and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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