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Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 April

Hamburger SV
WLDWW
3rd place in German Bundesliga 2
1
4-3
FT
21/04/2023 12:30
St. Pauli
LWWDW
5th place in German Bundesliga 2
German Bundesliga 2
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli on 21 April 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli preview before placing your bet.

  • Hamburger SV are currently 3rd with 66 points after 34 matches.
  • St. Pauli sit 5th with 58 points from 34 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Hamburger SV to win with probability 46%.
  • Head-to-head history favors St. Pauli, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Hamburger SV have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
12:30

2023-04-21

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli - Prediction & Odds

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
2023-04-21 12:30
46
25
29
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.97
FT
4-3 1-1
-
weather
13℃～14℃
STANDINGS UP TO 21/04/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Heidenheimer Heidenheimer
67 34 19 10 5 67 36 31
02 Darmstadt Darmstadt
67 34 20 7 7 50 33 17
03 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
66 34 20 6 8 70 45 25
04 Fortuna Dusseldorf Fortuna Dusseldorf
58 34 17 7 10 60 43 17
05 St. Pauli St. Pauli
58 34 16 10 8 55 39 16
06 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
55 34 16 7 11 68 44 24
07 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC
46 34 13 7 14 56 53 3
08 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
46 34 12 10 12 58 61 -3
09 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern
45 34 11 12 11 47 48 -1
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96
44 34 12 8 14 50 55 -5
11 Magdeburg Magdeburg
43 34 12 7 15 48 55 -7
12 Greuther Furth Greuther Furth
41 34 10 11 13 47 50 -3
13 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
41 34 12 5 17 32 48 -16
14 Nurnberg Nurnberg
39 34 10 9 15 32 49 -17
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig
36 34 9 9 16 42 59 -17
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
34 34 9 7 18 50 62 -12
17 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg
31 34 8 7 19 34 58 -24
18 SV Sandhausen SV Sandhausen
28 34 7 7 20 35 63 -28
Head To Head
14/10/2022 12:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
3 - 0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
21/01/2022 13:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
2 - 1
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
13/08/2021 12:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
3 - 2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
01/03/2021 15:30
St. Pauli St. Pauli
1 - 0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
GER D2
30/10/2020 13:30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
2 - 2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
22/02/2020 08:00
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
0 - 2
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER D2
Hamburger SV
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
St. Pauli
4
67%
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Last 6 matches
08/04/2023 07:00
Hamburger SV 6 - 1 Hannover 96 GER D2
31/03/2023 12:30
Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - 2 Hamburger SV GER D2
23/03/2023 07:20
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Eintracht Braunschweig INT CF
18/03/2023 08:00
Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel GER D2
12/03/2023 08:30
Karlsruher SC 4 - 2 Hamburger SV GER D2
04/03/2023 08:00
Hamburger SV 3 - 0 Nurnberg GER D2
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches St. Pauli St. Pauli
08/04/2023 14:30
Heidenheimer 0 - 1 St. Pauli GER D2
01/04/2023 07:00
St. Pauli 1 - 0 Jahn Regensburg GER D2
24/03/2023 08:00
St. Pauli 2 - 0 Hannover 96 INT CF
19/03/2023 08:30
SV Sandhausen 0 - 5 St. Pauli GER D2
11/03/2023 08:00
St. Pauli 2 - 1 Greuther Furth GER D2
03/03/2023 13:30
SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 St. Pauli GER D2
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues German Bundesliga 2

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
18
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
17
Goals
Scored
23
Avg. per game
1.28
Conceded
16
Avg. per game
0.89
Scored
13
Avg. per game
0.76
Conceded
6
Avg. per game
0.35
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 18 home matches
YesNo
12 (67%)6 (33%)
In last 18 home matches
NoYes
9 (53%)8 (47%)
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Recent matches

St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Under /Over

(78%)14 4(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)11 6(35%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

Under /Over

(61%)11 7(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

/Yes

(67%)12 6(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Shots
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Total shots
15.78 avg / game
Blocked
69 total
Avg. 4.06
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Total shots
17.65 avg / game
Blocked
83 total
Avg. 4.88
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV Pass St. Pauli St. Pauli
Total passes
8941
Avg. 497 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
58%
Total passes
8364
Avg. 492 / game
Accurate
81%
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1960
Avg. 108.89 / game
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
2105
Avg. 123.82 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
977
Avg. 54.28 / game
 St. Pauli
St. Pauli
890
Avg. 52.35 / game
OTHERS
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
18
Played games
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.28
5
Clean sheets
9
0.53
5.72
103
Corners
86
5.06
21.44
386
Throw-ins
363
21.35
2.22
40
Offsides
34
2.00
2.72
49
GK saves
35
2.06
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
DISCIPLINARY
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.22
40
Yellow card
39
2.29
0.17
3
Red card
0
0.00
12.22
220
Fouls
170
10.00
16.67
300
Tackles
266
15.65
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NEXT MATCHES
08/09
St. Pauli St. Pauli
VS
Greuther Furth Greuther Furth
GER
08/15
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
VS
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER
08/22
Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen
VS
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER
08/29
St. Pauli St. Pauli
VS
Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern
GER
09/05
Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld
VS
St. Pauli St. Pauli
GER

How We Build the Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli on 21 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Hamburger SV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against St. Pauli's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga 2 standings and the German Bundesliga 2 form table to understand exactly where Hamburger SV and St. Pauli sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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