Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 02

Guingamp

L L L W D

5th place in France Ligue 2

2-2

02/05/2025 14:00

Bastia

D W L L D

8th place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Guingamp vs Bastia on May 02, 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Guingamp vs Bastia preview before placing for you.

Guingamp are currently 5th with 55 points after 34 matches.
Bastia sit 8th with 48 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Guingamp to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Bastia, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Guingamp have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-05-02

Guingamp vs Bastia - Prediction & Odds

Guingamp

Bastia

2025-05-02 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 02/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Lorient	71	34	22	5	7	68	31	37
02 Paris FC	69	34	21	6	7	55	33	22
03 Metz	65	34	18	11	5	64	34	30
04 USL Dunkerque	56	34	17	5	12	47	40	7
05 Guingamp	55	34	17	4	13	57	45	12
06 FC Annecy	51	34	14	9	11	42	43	-1
07 Stade Lavallois MFC	50	34	14	8	12	44	38	6
08 Bastia	48	34	11	15	8	43	37	6
09 Grenoble	46	34	13	7	14	43	44	-1
10 Troyes	44	34	13	5	16	36	34	2
11 Amiens	43	34	13	4	17	38	50	-12
12 Ajaccio	42	34	12	6	16	30	42	-12
13 Pau FC	42	34	10	12	12	39	53	-14
14 Rodez Aveyron	39	34	9	12	13	56	54	2
15 Red Star FC 93	38	34	9	11	14	37	51	-14
16 Clermont	33	34	7	12	15	30	46	-16
17 Martigues	32	34	9	5	20	29	56	-27
18 Caen	22	34	5	7	22	31	58	-27

Head To Head

13/12/2024 15:00

Bastia

3 - 1

Guingamp

FRA D2

20/04/2024 13:00

Guingamp

0 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

28/10/2023 13:00

Bastia

0 - 0

Guingamp

FRA D2

18/02/2023 14:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Guingamp

FRA D2

22/10/2022 13:00

Guingamp

1 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

16/04/2022 13:00

Bastia

1 - 2

Guingamp

FRA D2

Guingamp

17%

Draw

50%

Bastia

33%

Guingamp Last 6 matches

25/04/2025 14:00

Guingamp 2 - 1 Martigues FRA D2

18/04/2025 14:00

Amiens 3 - 2 Guingamp FRA D2

12/04/2025 08:00

Guingamp 1 - 2 Lorient FRA D2

07/04/2025 14:45

USL Dunkerque 3 - 1 Guingamp FRA D2

29/03/2025 15:00

Guingamp 2 - 0 Stade Lavallois MFC FRA D2

14/03/2025 15:00

Troyes 0 - 1 Guingamp FRA D2

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Bastia

25/04/2025 14:00

Bastia 2 - 3 Grenoble FRA D2

19/04/2025 08:00

Paris FC 1 - 0 Bastia FRA D2

14/04/2025 14:45

Bastia 5 - 2 Stade Lavallois MFC FRA D2

04/04/2025 14:00

FC Annecy 1 - 1 Bastia FRA D2

28/03/2025 15:00

Bastia 2 - 0 USL Dunkerque FRA D2

15/03/2025 15:00

Lorient 4 - 0 Bastia FRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Played games

Goals

Scored

201

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

1.19

Scored

173

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.93

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 144 home matches

YesNo

105 (73%)39 (27%)

In last 144 home matches

NoYes

95 (71%)38 (29%)

Guingamp

Recent matches

Bastia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Guingamp

Bastia

Shots

Guingamp

Total shots

11.45 avg / game

Blocked

259 total

Avg. 3.45

Bastia

Total shots

11.50 avg / game

Blocked

219 total

Avg. 3.04

Guingamp Pass Bastia

Total passes

42752

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

36749

Avg. 399 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Guingamp

144

Played games

Bastia

133

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.41

4.52

651

Corners

520

3.91

6.59

949

Throw-ins

1113

8.37

1.61

232

Offsides

203

1.53

1.67

240

GK saves

213

1.60

Guingamp

DISCIPLINARY

Bastia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.35

194

233

1.75

0.06

0.14

10.25

1476

Fouls

1374

10.33

8.03

1156

Tackles

1271

9.56

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

How We Build the Guingamp vs Bastia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Guingamp vs Bastia on 02 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Guingamp vs Bastia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Guingamp's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bastia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Guingamp and Bastia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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