Groningen vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 March

Groningen

W D L L W

9th place in Holland Eredivisie

3-1

07/03/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax

L W W D L

5th place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Groningen vs AFC Ajax on 07 March 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Groningen vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Groningen are currently 9th with 48 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 5th with 56 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AFC Ajax to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors AFC Ajax, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Groningen have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2026-03-07

Groningen vs AFC Ajax - Prediction & Odds

Groningen

AFC Ajax

2026-03-07 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 07/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	101	45	56
02 Feyenoord	65	34	19	8	7	70	44	26
03 NEC Nijmegen	59	34	16	11	7	77	53	24
04 FC Twente Enschede	58	34	15	13	6	59	40	19
05 AFC Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	62	41	21
06 FC Utrecht	53	34	15	8	11	55	42	13
07 AZ Alkmaar	52	34	14	10	10	58	51	7
08 SC Heerenveen	51	34	14	9	11	57	53	4
09 Groningen	48	34	14	6	14	49	45	4
10 Sparta Rotterdam	43	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22
11 Fortuna Sittard	39	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14
12 Go Ahead Eagles	38	34	8	14	12	54	53	1
13 Excelsior SBV	38	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13
14 SC Telstar	37	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6
15 PEC Zwolle	37	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27
16 Volendam	32	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20
17 NAC Breda	29	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23
18 Heracles Almelo	19	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50

Head To Head

02/12/2025 09:30

AFC Ajax

2 - 0

Groningen

HOL D1

14/05/2025 14:00

Groningen

2 - 2

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

06/10/2024 10:45

AFC Ajax

3 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

16/05/2023 09:00

Groningen

2 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

14/08/2022 08:30

AFC Ajax

6 - 1

Groningen

HOL D1

02/04/2022 10:30

Groningen

1 - 3

AFC Ajax

HOL D1

Groningen

Draw

17%

AFC Ajax

83%

Groningen Last 6 matches

22/02/2026 07:15

FC Twente Enschede 2 - 1 Groningen HOL D1

14/02/2026 16:00

Groningen 1 - 2 FC Utrecht HOL D1

08/02/2026 11:45

Groningen 1 - 2 PSV Eindhoven HOL D1

31/01/2026 16:00

Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 0 Groningen HOL D1

25/01/2026 09:30

Groningen 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

18/01/2026 07:15

SC Heerenveen 0 - 2 Groningen HOL D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

21/02/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 NEC Nijmegen HOL D1

14/02/2026 15:00

AFC Ajax 4 - 1 Fortuna Sittard HOL D1

08/02/2026 09:30

AZ Alkmaar 1 - 1 AFC Ajax HOL D1

01/02/2026 07:15

Excelsior SBV 2 - 2 AFC Ajax HOL D1

28/01/2026 16:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 2 Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA CL

24/01/2026 11:30

AFC Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam HOL D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Groningen

AFC Ajax

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

11 (65%)6 (35%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

Groningen

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(95%)18 1(5%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Groningen

AFC Ajax

Shots

Groningen

Total shots

16.65 avg / game

Blocked

88 total

Avg. 5.50

AFC Ajax

Total shots

16.16 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 4.28

Groningen Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

7423

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

10396

Avg. 547 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Groningen

Played games

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.42

6.82

116

Corners

102

5.37

21.53

366

Throw-ins

306

16.11

1.88

Offsides

1.53

2.82

GK saves

3.05

Groningen

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.41

1.53

0.06

0.00

9.94

169

Fouls

193

10.16

9.65

164

Tackles

206

10.84

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Groningen vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Groningen vs AFC Ajax on 07 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Groningen vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Groningen's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Groningen and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Holland Eredivisie Predictions

Find every upcoming Holland Eredivisie fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less