Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Gremio Novorizontino

D D D D L

7th place in Brazil Serie B

1-1

28/09/2025 15:00

Vila Nova

L D D D L

13th place in Brazil Serie B

Brazil Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova preview before placing your bet.

Gremio Novorizontino are currently 7th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Vila Nova sit 13th with 47 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Gremio Novorizontino to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Gremio Novorizontino, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vila Nova have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-28

Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova - Prediction & Odds

Gremio Novorizontino

Vila Nova

2025-09-28 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coritiba PR	68	38	19	11	8	39	23	16
02 Atletico Paranaense	65	38	19	8	11	53	43	10
03 Chapecoense SC	62	38	18	8	12	52	35	17
04 Remo Belem (PA)	62	38	16	14	8	51	39	12
05 Criciuma	61	38	17	10	11	47	33	14
06 Goias	61	38	17	10	11	42	37	5
07 Gremio Novorizontino	60	38	15	15	8	43	32	11
08 Avai FC	56	38	14	14	10	50	40	10
09 CRB AL	56	38	16	8	14	45	40	5
10 Cuiaba	54	38	14	12	12	43	44	-1
11 Atletico Clube Goianiense	52	38	13	13	12	39	38	1
12 Operario Ferroviario PR	48	38	12	12	14	40	44	-4
13 Vila Nova	47	38	11	14	13	40	44	-4
14 America MG	46	38	12	10	16	41	44	-3
15 Athletic Club MG	44	38	12	8	18	43	53	-10
16 Botafogo SP	42	38	10	12	16	32	52	-20
17 Ferroviaria SP	40	38	8	16	14	43	52	-9
18 Amazonas FC	36	38	8	12	18	38	55	-17
19 Volta Redonda	36	38	8	12	18	26	43	-17
20 SC Paysandu Para	28	38	5	13	20	36	52	-16

Head To Head

30/05/2025 18:00

Vila Nova

0 - 1

Gremio Novorizontin

BRA D2

31/08/2024 16:00

Gremio Novorizontin

2 - 0

Vila Nova

BRA D2

14/05/2024 18:00

Vila Nova

2 - 1

Gremio Novorizontin

BRA D2

30/07/2023 14:30

Gremio Novorizontin

3 - 1

Vila Nova

BRA D2

15/04/2023 15:00

Vila Nova

2 - 1

Gremio Novorizontin

BRA D2

30/07/2022 17:30

Gremio Novorizontin

1 - 1

Vila Nova

BRA D2

Gremio Novorizontino

50%

Draw

17%

Vila Nova

33%

Gremio Novorizontino Last 6 matches

19/09/2025 18:00

Gremio Novorizontin 1 - 0 Athletic Club MG BRA D2

15/09/2025 18:00

Ferroviaria SP 1 - 2 Gremio Novorizontin BRA D2

08/09/2025 18:30

Gremio Novorizontin 1 - 1 Atletico Clube Goianiense BRA D2

30/08/2025 19:30

Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1 Gremio Novorizontin BRA D2

22/08/2025 20:35

Criciuma 2 - 0 Gremio Novorizontin BRA D2

14/08/2025 20:35

Gremio Novorizontin 1 - 2 Coritiba PR BRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Vila Nova

13/09/2025 17:30

Vila Nova 1 - 1 Remo Belem (PA) BRA D2

08/09/2025 20:30

Vila Nova 1 - 1 Athletic Club MG BRA D2

01/09/2025 18:00

Chapecoense SC 2 - 2 Vila Nova BRA D2

25/08/2025 18:00

Botafogo SP 2 - 0 Vila Nova BRA D2

16/08/2025 17:30

Vila Nova 2 - 0 Goias BRA D2

11/08/2025 20:30

SC Paysandu Para 0 - 1 Vila Nova BRA D2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

217

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

196

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

169

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

161 (54%)139 (46%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

144 (48%)156 (52%)

Gremio Novorizontino

Recent matches

Vila Nova

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Gremio Novorizontino

Vila Nova

Shots

Gremio Novorizontino

Total shots

12.25 avg / game

Blocked

483 total

Avg. 3.33

Vila Nova

Total shots

10.62 avg / game

Blocked

383 total

Avg. 3.17

Gremio Novorizontino Pass Vila Nova

Total passes

71307

Avg. 321 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

60844

Avg. 340 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Gremio Novorizontino

300

Played games

Vila Nova

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

109

Clean sheets

112

0.37

5.00

1501

Corners

1300

4.33

6.60

1981

Throw-ins

1673

5.58

1.09

326

Offsides

266

0.89

1.79

536

GK saves

469

1.56

Gremio Novorizontino

DISCIPLINARY

Vila Nova

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.93

580

653

2.18

0.11

0.07

10.10

3029

Fouls

2616

8.72

8.13

2438

Tackles

2066

6.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Atletico Clube Goianiense

Operario Ferroviario PR

How We Build the Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gremio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gremio Novorizontino's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vila Nova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie B standings and the Brazil Serie B form table to understand exactly where Gremio Novorizontino and Vila Nova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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