Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 January

Gnistan Helsinki

5th place in Finland League Cup

2-2

IFK Mariehamn
Win Probability 44%

30/01/2026 08:30

IFK Mariehamn

3rd place in Finland League Cup

Finland League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn on 30 January 2026 (kick-off: 08:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn preview before placing your bet.

Gnistan Helsinki will face IFK Mariehamn in Finland League Cup on January 30, 2026 at 08:30.
Gnistan Helsinki are currently 5th with 5 points after 5 matches.
IFK Mariehamn sit 3rd with 8 points from 5 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.00.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:30

2026-01-30

Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn - Prediction & Odds

Gnistan Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

2026-01-30 08:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/01/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Turku	12	5	4	0	1	9	3	6
02 HJK Helsinki	9	5	3	0	2	9	6	3
03 IFK Mariehamn	8	5	2	2	1	8	4	4
04 Lahti	7	5	2	1	2	7	6	1
05 Gnistan Helsinki	5	5	1	2	2	5	8	-3
06 TPS Turku	1	5	0	1	4	3	14	-11

Head To Head

09/08/2025 12:00

IFK Mariehamn

2 - 5

Gnistan Helsinki

FIN D1

03/05/2025 08:00

Gnistan Helsinki

2 - 0

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

08/02/2025 08:00

Gnistan Helsinki

4 - 0

IFK Mariehamn

FIN LC

15/09/2024 08:00

Gnistan Helsinki

2 - 1

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

21/08/2024 11:00

Gnistan Helsinki

2 - 1

IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

26/05/2024 11:30

IFK Mariehamn

1 - 1

Gnistan Helsinki

FIN D1

IFK Mariehamn

67%

Draw

17%

Gnistan Helsinki

17%

Gnistan Helsinki Last 6 matches

24/01/2026 08:45

Ilves Tampere 1 - 0 Gnistan Helsinki

INT CF

17/01/2026 11:30

Gnistan Helsinki 0 - 3 Inter Turku

FIN LC

09/11/2025 09:00

SJK Seinajoen 3 - 0 Gnistan Helsinki

FIN D1

03/11/2025 13:00

Gnistan Helsinki 2 - 2 HJK Helsinki

FIN D1

30/10/2025 12:00

KuPs 1 - 1 Gnistan Helsinki

FIN D1

25/10/2025 10:00

Gnistan Helsinki 1 - 3 Ilves Tampere

FIN D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches IFK Mariehamn

24/01/2026 08:00

Inter Turku 1 - 0 IFK Mariehamn

FIN LC

16/01/2026 11:30

HJK Helsinki 0 - 1 IFK Mariehamn

FIN LC

18/10/2025 10:00

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 0 AC Oulu

FIN D1

04/10/2025 10:00

KTP Kotka 1 - 1 IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

28/09/2025 09:00

Jaro 2 - 3 IFK Mariehamn

FIN D1

21/09/2025 11:30

IFK Mariehamn 2 - 1 Vaasa VPS

FIN D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Finland League Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Gnistan Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 27 matches

YesNo

14 (52%)13 (48%)

In last 27 matches

NoYes

11 (41%)16 (59%)

Gnistan Helsinki

Recent matches

IFK Mariehamn

Under /Over

(81%)22 5(19%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)21 6(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)9 18(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)7 20(74%)

Under /Over

(41%)11 16(59%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(48%)13 14(52%)

/Yes

(44%)12 15(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(41%)11 16(59%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Gnistan Helsinki

IFK Mariehamn

Shots

Gnistan Helsinki

Total shots

11.35 avg / game

Blocked

34 total

Avg. 2.62

IFK Mariehamn

Total shots

8.57 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 2.50

Gnistan Helsinki Pass IFK Mariehamn

Total passes

4619

Avg. 330 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

5748

Avg. 411 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Gnistan Helsinki

Played games

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.15

4.52

122

Corners

3.37

10.41

281

Throw-ins

318

11.78

1.00

Offsides

1.33

1.59

GK saves

2.89

Gnistan Helsinki

DISCIPLINARY

IFK Mariehamn

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.63

1.44

0.04

0.04

8.74

236

Fouls

203

7.52

203

Tackles

210

7.78

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn on 30 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Finland League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gnistan Helsinki vs IFK Mariehamn Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gnistan Helsinki's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against IFK Mariehamn's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Finland League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Finland League Cup standings and the Finland League Cup form table to understand exactly where Gnistan Helsinki and IFK Mariehamn sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Finland League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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