Genoa vs AS Roma: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Genoa
LWDWL
11th place in Italian Serie A
2
4-1
FT
28/09/2023 14:45
AS Roma
WDDLW
6th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Genoa vs AS Roma on 28 September 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Genoa vs AS Roma preview before placing your bet.

  • Genoa are currently 11th with 49 points after 38 matches.
  • AS Roma sit 6th with 63 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: AS Roma to win with probability 44%.
  • Head-to-head history favors AS Roma, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Genoa have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:45

2023-09-28

Genoa vs AS Roma - Prediction & Odds

Genoa
Genoa
AS Roma
AS Roma
2023-09-28 14:45
26
30
44
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.00
2.08
FT
4-1 2-1
-
weather
22℃～23℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
94 38 29 7 2 89 22 67
02 AC Milan AC Milan
75 38 22 9 7 76 49 27
03 Juventus Juventus
71 38 19 14 5 54 31 23
04 Atalanta Atalanta
69 38 21 6 11 72 42 30
05 Bologna Bologna
68 38 18 14 6 54 32 22
06 AS Roma AS Roma
63 38 18 9 11 65 46 19
07 Lazio Lazio
61 38 18 7 13 49 39 10
08 Fiorentina Fiorentina
60 38 17 9 12 61 46 15
09 Torino Torino
53 38 13 14 11 36 36 0
10 Napoli Napoli
53 38 13 14 11 55 48 7
11 Genoa Genoa
49 38 12 13 13 45 45 0
12 Monza Monza
45 38 11 12 15 39 51 -12
13 Verona Verona
38 38 9 11 18 38 51 -13
14 Lecce Lecce
38 38 8 14 16 32 54 -22
15 Udinese Udinese
37 38 6 19 13 37 53 -16
16 Cagliari Cagliari
36 38 8 12 18 42 68 -26
17 Empoli Empoli
36 38 9 9 20 29 54 -25
18 Frosinone Frosinone
35 38 8 11 19 44 69 -25
19 Sassuolo Sassuolo
30 38 7 9 22 43 75 -32
20 Salernitana Salernitana
17 38 2 11 25 32 81 -49
Head To Head
12/01/2023 16:00
AS Roma AS Roma
1 - 0
Genoa Genoa
ITA Cup
05/02/2022 10:00
AS Roma AS Roma
0 - 0
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
21/11/2021 15:45
Genoa Genoa
0 - 2
AS Roma AS Roma
ITA D1
07/03/2021 07:30
AS Roma AS Roma
1 - 0
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
08/11/2020 10:00
Genoa Genoa
1 - 3
AS Roma AS Roma
ITA D1
19/01/2020 13:00
Genoa Genoa
1 - 3
AS Roma AS Roma
ITA D1
Genoa
0
0%
Draw
1
17%
AS Roma
5
83%
Genoa Genoa Last 6 matches
22/09/2023 14:45
Lecce 1 - 0 Genoa ITA D1
16/09/2023 14:45
Genoa 2 - 2 Napoli ITA D1
03/09/2023 12:30
Torino 1 - 0 Genoa ITA D1
27/08/2023 14:45
Lazio 0 - 1 Genoa ITA D1
19/08/2023 14:45
Genoa 1 - 4 Fiorentina ITA D1
11/08/2023 15:00
Genoa 4 - 3 Modena ITA Cup
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches AS Roma AS Roma
24/09/2023 14:45
Torino 1 - 1 AS Roma ITA D1
21/09/2023 12:45
Sheriff Tiraspol 1 - 2 AS Roma UEFA EL
17/09/2023 14:45
AS Roma 7 - 0 Empoli ITA D1
01/09/2023 14:45
AS Roma 1 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1
26/08/2023 14:45
Verona 2 - 1 AS Roma ITA D1
20/08/2023 12:30
AS Roma 2 - 2 Salernitana ITA D1
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Genoa
Genoa
263
 AS Roma
AS Roma
300
Goals
Scored
132
Avg. per game
0.50
Conceded
150
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored
211
Avg. per game
0.70
Conceded
138
Avg. per game
0.46
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 263 matches
YesNo
104 (40%)159 (60%)
In last 263 matches
NoYes
157 (52%)143 (48%)
Genoa

Genoa

Recent matches

AS Roma

AS Roma

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Genoa Genoa
AS Roma AS Roma
Shots
Genoa
Genoa
Total shots
11.18 avg / game
Blocked
541 total
Avg. 2.72
AS Roma
AS Roma
Total shots
13.32 avg / game
Blocked
930 total
Avg. 3.77
Genoa Genoa Pass AS Roma AS Roma
Total passes
95824
Avg. 403 / game
Accurate
77%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
126003
Avg. 465 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Genoa
Genoa
25150
Avg. 95.63 / game
 AS Roma
AS Roma
29782
Avg. 99.27 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Genoa
Genoa
10713
Avg. 40.73 / game
 AS Roma
AS Roma
13613
Avg. 45.38 / game
OTHERS
Genoa
Genoa
263
Played games
AS Roma
AS Roma
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
75
Clean sheets
113
0.38
4.11
1082
Corners
1491
4.97
16.26
4276
Throw-ins
4912
16.37
1.54
405
Offsides
499
1.66
2.86
753
GK saves
756
2.52
Genoa
Genoa
DISCIPLINARY
AS Roma
AS Roma
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.97
518
Yellow card
629
2.10
0.07
18
Red card
32
0.11
12.58
3308
Fouls
3511
11.70
13.26
3488
Tackles
3777
12.59
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How We Build the Genoa vs AS Roma Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Genoa vs AS Roma on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Genoa vs AS Roma Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Genoa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AS Roma's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Genoa and AS Roma sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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