Genoa vs AC Milan: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 May

Genoa
WLDDL
16th place in Italian Serie A
2
1-2
FT
17/05/2026 10:00
AC Milan
WDLLW
5th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan on 17 May 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Genoa vs AC Milan preview before placing your bet.

  • Genoa are currently 16th with 41 points after 38 matches.
  • AC Milan sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 55%.
  • Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Genoa have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2026-05-17

Genoa vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Genoa
Genoa
AC Milan
AC Milan
2026-05-17 10:00
20
25
55
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
1.65
FT
1-2 0-0
-
weather
14℃～15℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 89 35 54
02 Napoli Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 58 36 22
03 AS Roma AS Roma
73 38 23 4 11 59 31 28
04 Como Como
71 38 20 11 7 65 29 36
05 AC Milan AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 53 35 18
06 Juventus Juventus
69 38 19 12 7 61 34 27
07 Atalanta Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 51 36 15
08 Bologna Bologna
56 38 16 8 14 49 46 3
09 Lazio Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 41 40 1
10 Udinese Udinese
50 38 14 8 16 45 48 -3
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 46 50 -4
12 Torino Torino
45 38 12 9 17 44 63 -19
13 Parma Parma
45 38 11 12 15 28 46 -18
14 Cagliari Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 40 53 -13
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 41 50 -9
16 Genoa Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 41 51 -10
17 Lecce Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 28 50 -22
18 Cremonese Cremonese
34 38 8 10 20 32 57 -25
19 Verona Verona
21 38 3 12 23 25 61 -36
20 Pisa Pisa
18 38 2 12 24 26 71 -45
Head To Head
08/01/2026 19:45
AC Milan AC Milan
1 - 1
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
05/05/2025 18:45
Genoa Genoa
1 - 2
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
15/12/2024 19:45
AC Milan AC Milan
0 - 0
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
05/05/2024 15:59
AC Milan AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
07/10/2023 18:45
Genoa Genoa
0 - 1
AC Milan AC Milan
ITA D1
15/04/2022 19:00
AC Milan AC Milan
2 - 0
Genoa Genoa
ITA D1
Genoa
0
0%
Draw
3
50%
AC Milan
3
50%
Genoa Genoa Last 6 matches
10/05/2026 13:00
Fiorentina 0 - 0 Genoa ITA D1
02/05/2026 18:45
Atalanta 0 - 0 Genoa ITA D1
26/04/2026 13:00
Genoa 0 - 2 Como ITA D1
19/04/2026 16:00
Pisa 1 - 2 Genoa ITA D1
12/04/2026 10:30
Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo ITA D1
06/04/2026 16:00
Juventus 2 - 0 Genoa ITA D1
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches AC Milan AC Milan
10/05/2026 18:45
AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta ITA D1
03/05/2026 13:00
Sassuolo 2 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1
26/04/2026 18:45
AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus ITA D1
19/04/2026 13:00
Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1
11/04/2026 16:00
AC Milan 0 - 3 Udinese ITA D1
06/04/2026 18:45
Napoli 1 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Genoa
Genoa
19
 AC Milan
AC Milan
19
Goals
Scored
14
Avg. per game
0.74
Conceded
14
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.79
Conceded
11
Avg. per game
0.58
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 19 home matches
YesNo
10 (53%)9 (47%)
In last 19 home matches
NoYes
11 (58%)8 (42%)
Genoa

Genoa

Recent matches

AC Milan

AC Milan

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)12 7(37%)

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

/Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Genoa Genoa
AC Milan AC Milan
Shots
Genoa
Genoa
Total shots
12.00 avg / game
Blocked
52 total
Avg. 2.89
AC Milan
AC Milan
Total shots
16.11 avg / game
Blocked
89 total
Avg. 4.68
Genoa Genoa Pass AC Milan AC Milan
Total passes
7633
Avg. 402 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
9513
Avg. 501 / game
Accurate
88%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Genoa
Genoa
1802
Avg. 94.84 / game
 AC Milan
AC Milan
2066
Avg. 108.74 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Genoa
Genoa
752
Avg. 39.58 / game
 AC Milan
AC Milan
994
Avg. 52.32 / game
OTHERS
Genoa
Genoa
19
Played games
AC Milan
AC Milan
19
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.21
4
Clean sheets
7
0.37
3.63
69
Corners
94
4.95
19.32
367
Throw-ins
341
17.95
1.32
25
Offsides
33
1.74
2.16
41
GK saves
54
2.84
Genoa
Genoa
DISCIPLINARY
AC Milan
AC Milan
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.63
31
Yellow card
36
1.89
0.11
2
Red card
1
0.05
12.58
239
Fouls
194
10.21
10.84
206
Tackles
160
8.42
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How We Build the Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Genoa vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Genoa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Genoa and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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