Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 17

Genoa

W L D D L

16th place in Italian Serie A

1-2

17/05/2026 06:00

AC Milan

W D L L W

5th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan on May 17, 2026 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Genoa vs AC Milan preview before placing for you.

Genoa are currently 16th with 41 points after 38 matches.
AC Milan sit 5th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors AC Milan, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Genoa have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:00

2026-05-17

Genoa vs AC Milan - Prediction & Odds

Genoa

AC Milan

2026-05-17 06:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

08/01/2026 15:45

AC Milan

1 - 1

Genoa

ITA D1

05/05/2025 14:45

Genoa

1 - 2

AC Milan

ITA D1

15/12/2024 15:45

AC Milan

0 - 0

Genoa

ITA D1

05/05/2024 11:59

AC Milan

3 - 3

Genoa

ITA D1

07/10/2023 14:45

Genoa

0 - 1

AC Milan

ITA D1

15/04/2022 15:00

AC Milan

2 - 0

Genoa

ITA D1

Genoa

Draw

50%

AC Milan

50%

Genoa Last 6 matches

10/05/2026 09:00

Fiorentina 0 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

02/05/2026 14:45

Atalanta 0 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

26/04/2026 09:00

Genoa 0 - 2 Como ITA D1

19/04/2026 12:00

Pisa 1 - 2 Genoa ITA D1

12/04/2026 06:30

Genoa 2 - 1 Sassuolo ITA D1

06/04/2026 12:00

Juventus 2 - 0 Genoa ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches AC Milan

10/05/2026 14:45

AC Milan 2 - 3 Atalanta ITA D1

03/05/2026 09:00

Sassuolo 2 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

26/04/2026 14:45

AC Milan 0 - 0 Juventus ITA D1

19/04/2026 09:00

Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan ITA D1

11/04/2026 12:00

AC Milan 0 - 3 Udinese ITA D1

06/04/2026 14:45

Napoli 1 - 0 AC Milan ITA D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

246

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

150

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 264 matches

YesNo

105 (40%)159 (60%)

In last 264 matches

NoYes

167 (56%)133 (44%)

Genoa

Recent matches

AC Milan

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Genoa

AC Milan

Shots

Genoa

Total shots

11.18 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 2.72

AC Milan

Total shots

14.04 avg / game

Blocked

912 total

Avg. 3.77

Genoa Pass AC Milan

Total passes

95824

Avg. 403 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

129442

Avg. 472 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Genoa

264

Played games

AC Milan

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.10

1082

Corners

1464

4.88

16.20

4276

Throw-ins

4525

15.08

1.53

405

Offsides

481

1.60

2.85

753

GK saves

810

2.70

Genoa

DISCIPLINARY

AC Milan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.96

518

558

1.86

0.07

0.10

12.53

3308

Fouls

3291

10.97

13.21

3488

Tackles

4030

13.43

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan on 17 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Genoa vs AC Milan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Genoa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AC Milan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Genoa and AC Milan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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