Gambia vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 March

Gambia

D L W L W

2nd place in Group G

1 - 0

28/03/2023 11:59

Mali

L D W D L

1st place in Group G

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gambia vs Mali on 28 March 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gambia vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

Gambia are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
Mali sit 1st with 15 points from 6 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Mali, who have won 1 of the last 3 meetings. Gambia have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/03/2023

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	15	6	5	0	1	15	2	13
02 Gambia	10	6	3	1	2	7	7	0
03 Congo	7	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5
04 South Sudan	3	6	1	0	5	5	13	-8

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Senegal	9	3	3	0	0	8	1	7
02 Cameroon	4	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
03 Guinea	4	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1
04 Gambia	0	3	0	0	3	2	7	-5

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	2
02 South Africa	4	3	1	1	1	4	2	2
03 Namibia	4	3	1	1	1	1	4	-3
04 Tunisia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

16/01/2022 09:00

Gambia

1 - 1

Mali

CAF NC

22/07/2017 13:00

Mali

4 - 0

Gambia

CAF SC

15/07/2017 12:30

Gambia

0 - 0

Mali

CAF SC

Gambia

Draw

67%

Mali

33%

Gambia Last 6 matches

20/11/2022 08:10

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Gambia INT FRL

26/07/2022 11:00

Guinea Bissau 1 - 0 Gambia CAF SC

23/07/2022 15:00

Gambia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau CAF SC

08/06/2022 11:59

Congo 1 - 0 Gambia CAF NC

04/06/2022 11:59

Gambia 1 - 0 South Sudan CAF NC

29/05/2022 11:40

United Arab Emirates 1 - 1 Gambia INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mali

24/01/2023 11:59

Mauritania 1 - 0 Mali CAF SC

16/01/2023 11:59

Mali 3 - 3 Angola CAF SC

10/01/2023 10:00

Mali 1 - 0 Democratic Rep Congo INT FRL

16/11/2022 15:30

Algeria 1 - 1 Mali INT FRL

29/10/2022 14:30

Algeria 4 - 0 Mali INT FRL

23/09/2022 15:00

Mali 1 - 0 Zambia INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Gambia

Mali

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 62 matches

YesNo

31 (50%)31 (50%)

In last 62 matches

NoYes

36 (46%)43 (54%)

Gambia

Recent matches

Mali

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Gambia

Mali

Shots

Gambia

Total shots

9.11 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 1.71

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Gambia Pass Mali

Total passes

6236

Avg. 312 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Gambia

Played games

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.54

2.32

144

Corners

285

3.61

4.77

296

Throw-ins

440

5.57

0.69

Offsides

1.04

1.31

GK saves

1.06

Gambia

DISCIPLINARY

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.15

112

1.42

0.03

0.13

6.26

388

Fouls

566

7.16

3.63

225

Tackles

373

4.72

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Gambia vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gambia vs Mali on 28 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gambia vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gambia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Gambia and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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