Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 11

Gamba Osaka

D L W D L

9th place in J-League Division 1

0-1

11/05/2025 02:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

W D L W W

4th place in J-League Division 1

J-League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce on May 11, 2025 (kick-off: 02:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce preview before placing for you.

Gamba Osaka are currently 9th with 57 points after 38 matches.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce sit 4th with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Hiroshima Sanfrecce to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Gamba Osaka, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Hiroshima Sanfrecce have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

02:00

2025-05-11

Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce - Prediction & Odds

Gamba Osaka

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

2025-05-11 02:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Kashima Antlers	76	38	23	7	8	58	31	27
02 Kashiwa Reysol	75	38	21	12	5	60	34	26
03 Kyoto Sanga	68	38	19	11	8	62	40	22
04 Hiroshima Sanfrecce	68	38	20	8	10	46	28	18
05 Vissel Kobe	64	38	18	10	10	46	33	13
06 Machida Zelvia	60	38	17	9	12	52	38	14
07 Urawa Red Diamonds	59	38	16	11	11	45	39	6
08 Kawasaki Frontale	57	38	15	12	11	67	57	10
09 Gamba Osaka	57	38	17	6	15	53	55	-2
10 Cerezo Osaka	52	38	14	10	14	60	57	3
11 FC Tokyo	50	38	13	11	14	41	48	-7
12 Avispa Fukuoka	48	38	12	12	14	34	38	-4
13 Fagiano Okayama	45	38	12	9	17	34	43	-9
14 Shimizu S-Pulse	44	38	11	11	16	41	51	-10
15 Yokohama Marinos	43	38	12	7	19	46	47	-1
16 Nagoya Grampus	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
17 Tokyo Verdy	43	38	11	10	17	23	41	-18
18 Yokohama FC	35	38	9	8	21	27	45	-18
19 Shonan Bellmare	32	38	8	8	22	36	63	-27
20 Albirex Niigata	24	38	4	12	22	36	67	-31

Head To Head

08/12/2024 01:00

Gamba Osaka

3 - 1

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

JPN D1

11/09/2024 05:30

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

1 - 2

Gamba Osaka

JE Cup

30/03/2024 00:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

1 - 1

Gamba Osaka

JPN D1

10/02/2024 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

1 - 2

Gamba Osaka

INT CF

25/11/2023 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

3 - 0

Gamba Osaka

JPN D1

12/03/2023 03:00

Gamba Osaka

1 - 2

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

JPN D1

Gamba Osaka

50%

Draw

17%

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

33%

Gamba Osaka Last 6 matches

06/05/2025 01:00

Urawa Red Diamonds 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

03/05/2025 02:00

Gamba Osaka 4 - 0 Shonan Bellmare JPN D1

29/04/2025 02:00

Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Kyoto Sanga JPN D1

25/04/2025 06:30

FC Tokyo 3 - 0 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

20/04/2025 01:00

Yokohama FC 1 - 1 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

16/04/2025 06:00

Mito Hollyhock 0 - 0 Gamba Osaka JPN LC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Hiroshima Sanfrecce

07/05/2025 06:00

Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

03/05/2025 00:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka JPN D1

29/04/2025 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 0 - 1 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

25/04/2025 06:30

Urawa Red Diamonds 1 - 0 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

20/04/2025 01:00

Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

12/04/2025 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 0 - 1 Fagiano Okayama JPN D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues J-League Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

207

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

307

Avg. per game

1.02

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 285 matches

YesNo

151 (53%)134 (47%)

In last 285 matches

NoYes

190 (63%)110 (37%)

Gamba Osaka

Recent matches

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Gamba Osaka

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Shots

Gamba Osaka

Total shots

11.43 avg / game

Blocked

535 total

Avg. 3.54

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Total shots

13.93 avg / game

Blocked

623 total

Avg. 4.39

Gamba Osaka Pass Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Total passes

90653

Avg. 463 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

87501

Avg. 442 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Gamba Osaka

285

Played games

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.33

4.55

1296

Corners

1711

5.70

6.41

1828

Throw-ins

2324

7.75

1.23

350

Offsides

451

1.50

2.86

814

GK saves

644

2.15

Gamba Osaka

DISCIPLINARY

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.15

327

279

0.93

0.05

0.04

9.38

2672

Fouls

2745

9.15

8.26

2355

Tackles

2545

8.48

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

How We Build the Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this J-League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gamba Osaka vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gamba Osaka's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Hiroshima Sanfrecce's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

J-League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live J-League Division 1 standings and the J-League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Gamba Osaka and Hiroshima Sanfrecce sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our J-League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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