Gabon vs Lesotho: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Gabon

W L W L D

2nd place in Group B

0-0

11/10/2024 15:00

Lesotho

L L L L D

3rd place in Group B

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Gabon vs Lesotho preview before placing your bet.

Gabon are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
Lesotho sit 3rd with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Gabon to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors Gabon, who have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. Lesotho have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-10-11

Gabon vs Lesotho - Prediction & Odds

Gabon

Lesotho

2024-10-11 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	18	6	6	0	0	26	2	24
02 Gabon	10	6	3	1	2	7	9	-2
03 Lesotho	4	6	1	1	4	2	13	-11
04 Central African Republic	3	6	1	0	5	3	14	-11

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ivory Coast	7	3	2	1	0	5	3	2
02 Cameroon	7	3	2	1	0	4	2	2
03 Mozambique	3	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1
04 Gabon	0	3	0	0	3	4	7	-3

Head To Head

19/11/2014 14:00

Gabon

4 - 2

Lesotho

CAF NC

10/09/2014 13:00

Lesotho

1 - 1

Gabon

CAF NC

07/09/2008 09:00

Lesotho

0 - 3

Gabon

WCPAF

28/06/2008 10:30

Gabon

2 - 0

Lesotho

WCPAF

Gabon

75%

Draw

25%

Lesotho

Gabon Last 6 matches

10/09/2024 12:00

Gabon 2 - 0 Central African Republic CAF NC

06/09/2024 15:00

Morocco 4 - 1 Gabon CAF NC

11/06/2024 15:00

Gabon 3 - 2 Gambia WCPAF

07/06/2024 15:00

Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Gabon WCPAF

25/03/2024 15:30

Gabon 1 - 1 Congo INT FRL

22/03/2024 15:30

Senegal 3 - 0 Gabon INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lesotho

09/09/2024 15:00

Lesotho 0 - 1 Morocco CAF NC

05/09/2024 12:00

Central African Republic 3 - 1 Lesotho CAF NC

03/07/2024 09:00

Lesotho 1 - 3 Angola COSAFA Cup

01/07/2024 09:00

Namibia 2 - 1 Lesotho COSAFA Cup

28/06/2024 09:00

Lesotho 1 - 1 Seychelles COSAFA Cup

11/06/2024 11:59

Lesotho 0 - 1 Rwanda WCPAF

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Gabon

Lesotho

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

Avg. per game

0.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 56 matches

YesNo

25 (45%)31 (55%)

In last 56 matches

NoYes

18 (26%)50 (74%)

Gabon

Recent matches

Lesotho

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(29%)13 32(71%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Gabon

Lesotho

Shots

Gabon

Total shots

9.98 avg / game

Blocked

21 total

Avg. 1.91

Lesotho

Total shots

7.56 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 1.63

Gabon Pass Lesotho

Total passes

5665

Avg. 354 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

3661

Avg. 282 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

44%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Gabon

Played games

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.28

4.07

228

Corners

153

2.25

4.91

275

Throw-ins

252

3.71

0.86

Offsides

0.72

1.20

GK saves

1.06

Gabon

DISCIPLINARY

Lesotho

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.54

106

1.56

0.09

0.07

6.95

389

Fouls

287

4.22

4.00

224

Tackles

157

2.31

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Gabon vs Lesotho Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Gabon vs Lesotho Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Gabon's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lesotho's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Gabon and Lesotho sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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