FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 April

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

0-1

12/04/2026 17:30

SC Freiburg

W W L D L

7th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg on 12 April 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 are currently 10th with 40 points after 34 matches.
SC Freiburg sit 7th with 47 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors SC Freiburg, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. FSV Mainz 05 have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-04-12

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg - Prediction & Odds

FSV Mainz 05

SC Freiburg

2026-04-12 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

30/11/2025 18:30

SC Freiburg

4 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

15/03/2025 14:30

FSV Mainz 05

2 - 2

SC Freiburg

GER D1

03/11/2024 14:30

SC Freiburg

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

21/04/2024 17:30

SC Freiburg

1 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

03/12/2023 14:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 1

SC Freiburg

GER D1

19/03/2023 18:30

FSV Mainz 05

1 - 1

SC Freiburg

GER D1

FSV Mainz 05

Draw

67%

SC Freiburg

33%

FSV Mainz 05 Last 6 matches

04/04/2026 13:30

TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

22/03/2026 14:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

19/03/2026 17:45

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Sigma Olomouc UEFA ECL

15/03/2026 14:30

Werder Bremen 0 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

12/03/2026 20:00

Sigma Olomouc 0 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 UEFA ECL

07/03/2026 14:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches SC Freiburg

04/04/2026 13:30

SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Bayern Munchen GER D1

22/03/2026 16:30

St. Pauli 1 - 2 SC Freiburg GER D1

19/03/2026 17:45

SC Freiburg 5 - 1 Racing Genk UEFA EL

15/03/2026 16:30

SC Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin GER D1

12/03/2026 20:00

Racing Genk 1 - 0 SC Freiburg UEFA EL

07/03/2026 14:30

SC Freiburg 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

205

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

198

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

262

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 265 matches

YesNo

139 (52%)126 (48%)

In last 265 matches

NoYes

178 (60%)119 (40%)

FSV Mainz 05

Recent matches

SC Freiburg

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FSV Mainz 05

SC Freiburg

Shots

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

12.77 avg / game

Blocked

730 total

Avg. 3.43

SC Freiburg

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

761 total

Avg. 3.21

FSV Mainz 05 Pass SC Freiburg

Total passes

88287

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

109777

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FSV Mainz 05

265

Played games

SC Freiburg

297

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.29

4.77

1265

Corners

1162

3.91

18.44

4887

Throw-ins

4498

15.14

1.79

475

Offsides

420

1.41

2.68

711

GK saves

802

2.70

FSV Mainz 05

DISCIPLINARY

SC Freiburg

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

488

426

1.43

0.08

0.04

11.67

3092

Fouls

2825

9.51

12.91

3422

Tackles

3431

11.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

GER

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg on 12 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against SC Freiburg's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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