FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 February

FSV Mainz 05

L D L W L

10th place in German Bundesliga

1-1

20/02/2026 15:40

Hamburger SV

L L L W W

13th place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV on 20 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:40) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV preview before placing your bet.

FSV Mainz 05 are currently 10th with 40 points after 34 matches.
Hamburger SV sit 13th with 38 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FSV Mainz 05 to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors FSV Mainz 05, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Hamburger SV have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:40

2026-02-20

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV - Prediction & Odds

FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV

2026-02-20 15:40

STANDINGS UP TO 20/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

05/10/2025 11:30

Hamburger SV

4 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

03/03/2018 10:30

Hamburger SV

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

14/10/2017 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 2

Hamburger SV

GER D1

07/05/2017 09:30

Hamburger SV

0 - 0

FSV Mainz 05

GER D1

17/12/2016 10:30

FSV Mainz 05

3 - 1

Hamburger SV

GER D1

30/04/2016 09:30

FSV Mainz 05

0 - 0

Hamburger SV

GER D1

FSV Mainz 05

33%

Draw

50%

Hamburger SV

17%

FSV Mainz 05 Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 15:30

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

07/02/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 Augsburg GER D1

31/01/2026 10:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

24/01/2026 10:30

FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg GER D1

17/01/2026 10:30

FC Koln 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

13/01/2026 15:30

FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Heidenheimer GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Hamburger SV

14/02/2026 10:30

Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin GER D1

07/02/2026 10:30

Heidenheimer 0 - 2 Hamburger SV GER D1

31/01/2026 13:30

Hamburger SV 2 - 2 Bayern Munchen GER D1

23/01/2026 15:30

St. Pauli 0 - 0 Hamburger SV GER D1

17/01/2026 10:30

Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia Monchengladbach GER D1

10/01/2026 10:30

SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV GER D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

8 (47%)9 (53%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

9 (53%)8 (47%)

FSV Mainz 05

Recent matches

Hamburger SV

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

/Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV

Shots

FSV Mainz 05

Total shots

13.59 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

Hamburger SV

Total shots

13.24 avg / game

Blocked

58 total

Avg. 3.41

FSV Mainz 05 Pass Hamburger SV

Total passes

6354

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

6598

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FSV Mainz 05

Played games

Hamburger SV

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.12

Clean sheets

0.12

6.18

105

Corners

3.71

22.12

376

Throw-ins

292

17.18

2.41

Offsides

1.35

2.82

GK saves

2.35

FSV Mainz 05

DISCIPLINARY

Hamburger SV

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.71

2.18

0.18

0.18

11.88

202

Fouls

205

12.06

8.35

142

Tackles

161

9.47

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV on 20 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FSV Mainz 05's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Hamburger SV's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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