Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 16

Fluminense RJ

W L D D D

4th place in Brazil Serie A

2-1

16/05/2026 18:00

Sao Paulo

L L D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo on May 16, 2026 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo preview before placing for you.

Fluminense RJ are currently 4th with 34 points after 21 matches.
Sao Paulo sit 12th with 26 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fluminense RJ to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Fluminense RJ and Sao Paulo have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2026-05-16

Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo - Prediction & Odds

Fluminense RJ

Sao Paulo

2026-05-16 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

27/11/2025 19:30

Fluminense RJ

6 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

27/07/2025 15:00

Sao Paulo

3 - 1

Fluminense RJ

BRA D1

01/09/2024 17:30

Fluminense RJ

2 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

13/05/2024 19:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Fluminense RJ

BRA D1

22/11/2023 20:30

Fluminense RJ

1 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

01/07/2023 15:00

Sao Paulo

1 - 0

Fluminense RJ

BRA D1

Fluminense RJ

50%

Draw

Sao Paulo

50%

Fluminense RJ Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 17:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 2 Vitoria BA BRA D1

06/05/2026 20:30

Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 1 Fluminense RJ CON CLA

03/05/2026 17:30

Internacional RS 2 - 0 Fluminense RJ BRA D1

30/04/2026 18:00

Bolivar 2 - 0 Fluminense RJ CON CLA

26/04/2026 19:30

Fluminense RJ 2 - 1 Chapecoense SC BRA D1

23/04/2026 20:30

Operario Ferroviario PR 0 - 0 Fluminense RJ Copa do Brasil

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Sao Paulo

10/05/2026 17:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 3 - 2 Sao Paulo BRA D1

07/05/2026 18:00

O.Higgins 0 - 0 Sao Paulo CON CSA

03/05/2026 15:00

Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

28/04/2026 20:30

Millonarios 0 - 0 Sao Paulo CON CSA

25/04/2026 20:00

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol BRA D1

21/04/2026 18:15

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Juventude Copa do Brasil

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

249

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

167

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

208

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

165 (55%)135 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

155 (52%)145 (48%)

Fluminense RJ

Recent matches

Sao Paulo

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fluminense RJ

Sao Paulo

Shots

Fluminense RJ

Total shots

12.36 avg / game

Blocked

598 total

Avg. 3.05

Sao Paulo

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

655 total

Avg. 3.13

Fluminense RJ Pass Sao Paulo

Total passes

115311

Avg. 473 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

114258

Avg. 423 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fluminense RJ

300

Played games

Sao Paulo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

114

Clean sheets

112

0.37

4.83

1450

Corners

1480

4.93

13.25

3974

Throw-ins

3709

12.36

1.19

357

Offsides

402

1.34

2.20

660

GK saves

628

2.09

Fluminense RJ

DISCIPLINARY

Sao Paulo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.23

669

585

1.95

0.13

0.09

9.68

2905

Fouls

3320

11.07

9.62

2887

Tackles

3264

10.88

NEXT MATCHES

Independiente Rivadavia

Independiente Rivadavia

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo on 16 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fluminense RJ vs Sao Paulo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fluminense RJ's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sao Paulo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fluminense RJ and Sao Paulo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Brazil Serie A Predictions

Find every upcoming Brazil Serie A fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less