Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 17

Fiorentina

W L W D W

8th place in Italian Serie A

3-2

17/09/2023 11:59

Atalanta

W W W W W

4th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta on September 17, 2023 (kick-off: 11:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Fiorentina vs Atalanta preview before placing for you.

Fiorentina are currently 8th with 60 points after 38 matches.
Atalanta sit 4th with 69 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Fiorentina, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Atalanta have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:59

2023-09-17

Fiorentina vs Atalanta - Prediction & Odds

Fiorentina

Atalanta

2023-09-17 11:59

STANDINGS UP TO 17/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	94	38	29	7	2	89	22	67
02 AC Milan	75	38	22	9	7	76	49	27
03 Juventus	71	38	19	14	5	54	31	23
04 Atalanta	69	38	21	6	11	72	42	30
05 Bologna	68	38	18	14	6	54	32	22
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	65	46	19
07 Lazio	61	38	18	7	13	49	39	10
08 Fiorentina	60	38	17	9	12	61	46	15
09 Torino	53	38	13	14	11	36	36	0
10 Napoli	53	38	13	14	11	55	48	7
11 Genoa	49	38	12	13	13	45	45	0
12 Monza	45	38	11	12	15	39	51	-12
13 Verona	38	38	9	11	18	38	51	-13
14 Lecce	38	38	8	14	16	32	54	-22
15 Udinese	37	38	6	19	13	37	53	-16
16 Cagliari	36	38	8	12	18	42	68	-26
17 Empoli	36	38	9	9	20	29	54	-25
18 Frosinone	35	38	8	11	19	44	69	-25
19 Sassuolo	30	38	7	9	22	43	75	-32
20 Salernitana	17	38	2	11	25	32	81	-49

Head To Head

17/04/2023 14:45

Fiorentina

1 - 1

Atalanta

ITA D1

02/10/2022 11:59

Atalanta

1 - 0

Fiorentina

ITA D1

20/02/2022 07:30

Fiorentina

1 - 0

Atalanta

ITA D1

10/02/2022 13:00

Atalanta

2 - 3

Fiorentina

ITA Cup

11/09/2021 14:45

Atalanta

1 - 2

Fiorentina

ITA D1

11/04/2021 14:45

Fiorentina

2 - 3

Atalanta

ITA D1

Fiorentina

50%

Draw

17%

Atalanta

33%

Fiorentina Last 6 matches

03/09/2023 12:30

Inter Milan 4 - 0 Fiorentina ITA D1

31/08/2023 14:00

Fiorentina 2 - 0 Rapid Wien UEFA ECL

27/08/2023 12:30

Fiorentina 2 - 2 Lecce ITA D1

24/08/2023 13:00

Rapid Wien 1 - 0 Fiorentina UEFA ECL

19/08/2023 14:45

Genoa 1 - 4 Fiorentina ITA D1

12/08/2023 14:00

Fiorentina 1 - 1 OFI Crete INT CF

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atalanta

02/09/2023 14:45

Atalanta 3 - 0 Monza ITA D1

26/08/2023 12:30

Frosinone 2 - 1 Atalanta ITA D1

20/08/2023 12:30

Sassuolo 0 - 2 Atalanta ITA D1

12/08/2023 14:30

Juventus 0 - 0 Atalanta INT CF

09/08/2023 10:00

Atalanta 3 - 0 Us Pergolettese INT CF

05/08/2023 09:30

Union Berlin 4 - 1 Atalanta INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

276

Avg. per game

0.92

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

312

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

190

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

173 (58%)127 (42%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

193 (64%)107 (36%)

Fiorentina

Recent matches

Atalanta

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Fiorentina

Atalanta

Shots

Fiorentina

Total shots

14.50 avg / game

Blocked

863 total

Avg. 3.90

Atalanta

Total shots

14.28 avg / game

Blocked

991 total

Avg. 3.92

Fiorentina Pass Atalanta

Total passes

120046

Avg. 464 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

132638

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Fiorentina

300

Played games

Atalanta

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.31

5.28

1584

Corners

1578

5.26

14.15

4245

Throw-ins

5295

17.65

1.58

475

Offsides

495

1.65

2.26

678

GK saves

735

2.45

Fiorentina

DISCIPLINARY

Atalanta

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.09

628

528

1.76

0.06

0.05

11.26

3379

Fouls

3424

11.41

10.68

3204

Tackles

3899

13.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta on 17 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Fiorentina's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atalanta's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Fiorentina and Atalanta sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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