Finland vs Lithuania: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 October

Finland

L L W L D

3rd place in Group G

2-1

09/10/2025 16:00

Lithuania

L D L D D

5th place in Group G

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Finland vs Lithuania on 09 October 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Finland vs Lithuania preview before placing your bet.

Finland are currently 3rd with 10 points after 8 matches.
Lithuania sit 5th with 3 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Finland to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Lithuania, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Finland have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-10-09

Finland vs Lithuania - Prediction & Odds

Finland

Lithuania

2025-10-09 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/10/2025

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Netherlands	20	8	6	2	0	27	4	23
02 Poland	17	8	5	2	1	14	7	7
03 Finland	10	8	3	1	4	8	14	-6
04 Malta	5	8	1	2	5	4	19	-15
05 Lithuania	3	8	0	3	5	6	15	-9

Head To Head

24/03/2025 17:00

Lithuania

2 - 2

Finland

WCPEU

29/05/2014 14:00

Finland

0 - 1

Lithuania

Baltic Cup

Finland

Draw

50%

Lithuania

50%

Finland Last 6 matches

07/09/2025 18:45

Poland 3 - 1 Finland WCPEU

04/09/2025 16:00

Norway 1 - 0 Finland INT FRL

10/06/2025 18:45

Finland 2 - 1 Poland WCPEU

07/06/2025 18:45

Finland 0 - 2 Netherlands WCPEU

24/03/2025 17:00

Lithuania 2 - 2 Finland WCPEU

21/03/2025 19:45

Malta 0 - 1 Finland WCPEU

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lithuania

07/09/2025 16:00

Lithuania 2 - 3 Netherlands WCPEU

04/09/2025 16:00

Lithuania 1 - 1 Malta WCPEU

10/06/2025 17:00

Denmark 5 - 0 Lithuania INT FRL

07/06/2025 16:00

Malta 0 - 0 Lithuania WCPEU

24/03/2025 17:00

Lithuania 2 - 2 Finland WCPEU

21/03/2025 19:45

Poland 1 - 0 Lithuania WCPEU

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Finland

Lithuania

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

Avg. per game

0.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 78 matches

YesNo

32 (41%)46 (59%)

In last 78 matches

NoYes

20 (28%)52 (72%)

Finland

Recent matches

Lithuania

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Finland

Lithuania

Shots

Finland

Total shots

9.02 avg / game

Blocked

140 total

Avg. 2.86

Lithuania

Total shots

9.22 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 2.30

Finland Pass Lithuania

Total passes

24341

Avg. 477 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

17529

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Finland

Played games

Lithuania

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.15

3.22

251

Corners

199

2.76

11.96

933

Throw-ins

837

11.63

0.96

Offsides

1.07

2.58

201

GK saves

161

2.24

Finland

DISCIPLINARY

Lithuania

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.99

145

2.01

0.03

0.07

8.59

670

Fouls

722

10.03

8.46

660

Tackles

584

8.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Finland vs Lithuania Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Finland vs Lithuania on 09 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Finland vs Lithuania Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Finland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lithuania's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Finland and Lithuania sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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