FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

FC Ulaanbaatar

W W W L W

1st place in Mongolia Premier League

1 - 1

28/09/2025 00:00

SP Falcons

W W W W W

10th place in Mongolia Premier League

Mongolia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons on 28 September 2025 (kick-off: 00:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons preview before placing your bet.

FC Ulaanbaatar are currently 1st with 53 points after 22 matches.
SP Falcons sit 10th with 0 points from 0 matches.
Head-to-head history favors SP Falcons, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FC Ulaanbaatar have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Ulaanbaatar	53	22	17	2	3	81	19	62
02 Tuv Buganuud	46	22	14	4	4	60	26	34
03 Deren FC	45	22	14	3	5	70	23	47
04 Hunters FC	36	20	11	3	6	72	29	43
05 Khangarid Klub	34	22	10	4	8	68	34	34
06 Khovd Western	24	20	7	3	10	37	42	-5
07 Khovd	16	20	5	1	14	39	86	-47
08 Ulaangom City FC	11	20	3	2	15	27	117	-90
09 Khoromkhon Club	6	20	2	0	18	31	109	-78
10 SP Falcons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

15/06/2025 04:15

FC Ulaanbaatar

3 - 4

SP Falcons

MGL PL

15/03/2025 01:15

SP Falcons

0 - 0

FC Ulaanbaatar

MGL PL

16/08/2024 07:15

SP Falcons

0 - 1

FC Ulaanbaatar

MGL PL

12/05/2024 07:15

FC Ulaanbaatar

1 - 3

SP Falcons

MGL PL

10/03/2024 07:15

SP Falcons

1 - 0

FC Ulaanbaatar

MGL PL

13/08/2023 07:00

FC Ulaanbaatar

0 - 2

SP Falcons

MGL PL

FC Ulaanbaatar

17%

Draw

17%

SP Falcons

67%

FC Ulaanbaatar Last 6 matches

20/09/2025 22:10

Khovd 0 - 4 FC Ulaanbaatar MGL PL

20/07/2025 06:45

Deren FC 0 - 1 FC Ulaanbaatar MGL PL

15/07/2025 07:15

FC Ulaanbaatar 4 - 1 Khoromkhon Club MGL PL

09/07/2025 04:20

Tuv Buganuud 0 - 3 FC Ulaanbaatar MGL PL

06/07/2025 04:15

FC Ulaanbaatar 3 - 3 Khovd MGL PL

02/07/2025 07:15

Erchim 0 - 3 FC Ulaanbaatar MGL PL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches SP Falcons

20/09/2025 02:00

SP Falcons 2 - 0 Deren FC MGL PL

12/08/2025 04:00

SP Falcons 3 - 1 Taichung Futuro ACGL

20/07/2025 03:45

SP Falcons 2 - 1 Khangarid Klub MGL PL

16/07/2025 07:15

SP Falcons 3 - 2 Deren FC MGL PL

10/07/2025 04:15

Khoromkhon Club 1 - 12 SP Falcons MGL PL

05/07/2025 04:15

SP Falcons 6 - 1 Tuv Buganuud MGL PL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mongolia Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

1.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

206

Avg. per game

1.57

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 145 matches

YesNo

108 (74%)37 (26%)

In last 145 matches

NoYes

84 (64%)47 (36%)

FC Ulaanbaatar

Recent matches

SP Falcons

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Ulaanbaatar

SP Falcons

Shots

FC Ulaanbaatar

Total shots

13.95 avg / game

Blocked

10 total

Avg. 1.67

SP Falcons

Total shots

15.98 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.00

FC Ulaanbaatar Pass SP Falcons

Total passes

2637

Avg. 440 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

1010

Avg. 337 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Ulaanbaatar

145

Played games

SP Falcons

131

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.31

4.84

702

Corners

657

5.02

0.26

Throw-ins

0.37

0.14

Offsides

0.28

0.06

GK saves

0.11

FC Ulaanbaatar

DISCIPLINARY

SP Falcons

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.63

236

230

1.76

0.10

0.08

0.86

124

Fouls

112

0.85

0.54

Tackles

0.45

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons on 28 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mongolia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Ulaanbaatar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against SP Falcons's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mongolia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mongolia Premier League standings and the Mongolia Premier League form table to understand exactly where FC Ulaanbaatar and SP Falcons sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mongolia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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