FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 05

FC Porto

W W W W L

1st place in Portugal Primera Liga

0-0

05/10/2025 16:15

Benfica

W W W D D

3rd place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica on October 05, 2025 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Porto vs Benfica preview before placing for you.

FC Porto are currently 1st with 88 points after 34 matches.
Benfica sit 3rd with 80 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FC Porto to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. FC Porto have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:15

2025-10-05

FC Porto vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

FC Porto

Benfica

2025-10-05 16:15

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

06/04/2025 15:30

FC Porto

1 - 4

Benfica

POR D1

10/11/2024 16:45

Benfica

4 - 1

FC Porto

POR D1

03/03/2024 16:30

FC Porto

5 - 0

Benfica

POR D1

29/09/2023 15:15

Benfica

1 - 0

FC Porto

POR D1

09/08/2023 15:45

Benfica

2 - 0

FC Porto

POR SC

07/04/2023 13:00

Benfica

1 - 2

FC Porto

POR D1

FC Porto

33%

Draw

Benfica

67%

FC Porto Last 6 matches

25/09/2025 15:00

Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 1 FC Porto UEFA EL

19/09/2025 15:15

Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Porto POR D1

13/09/2025 13:00

FC Porto 1 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

30/08/2025 15:30

Sporting CP 1 - 2 FC Porto POR D1

24/08/2025 13:00

FC Porto 4 - 0 Casa Pia AC POR D1

18/08/2025 15:15

Gil Vicente 0 - 2 FC Porto POR D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Benfica

26/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 2 - 1 Gil Vicente POR D1

23/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Rio Ave POR D1

20/09/2025 13:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

16/09/2025 15:00

Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

12/09/2025 15:15

Benfica 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

31/08/2025 13:00

Alverca 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

346

Avg. per game

1.15

Conceded

128

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

341

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

212 (71%)88 (29%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

204 (68%)96 (32%)

FC Porto

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Porto

Benfica

Shots

FC Porto

Total shots

14.64 avg / game

Blocked

774 total

Avg. 3.85

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

FC Porto Pass Benfica

Total passes

114478

Avg. 483 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Porto

300

Played games

Benfica

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.46

137

Clean sheets

128

0.43

5.82

1747

Corners

1977

6.59

14.72

4417

Throw-ins

4638

15.46

1.47

440

Offsides

549

1.83

1.81

544

GK saves

683

2.28

FC Porto

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.29

687

567

1.89

0.13

0.07

11.98

3595

Fouls

3215

10.72

11.32

3396

Tackles

4200

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Porto vs Benfica on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Porto vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Porto's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where FC Porto and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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