FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 21

FC Cajamarca

D L

16th place in Clausura

3-1

21/02/2026 14:00

FBC Melgar

W W

2nd place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar on February 21, 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar preview before placing for you.

FC Cajamarca are currently 16th with 1 points after 3 matches.
FBC Melgar sit 2nd with 7 points from 3 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FBC Melgar to win with probability 48%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-02-21

FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar - Prediction & Odds

FC Cajamarca

FBC Melgar

2026-02-21 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	7	3	2	1	0	7	4	3
02 FBC Melgar	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
03 Cusco FC	6	3	2	0	1	9	4	5
04 Sport Huancayo	6	3	2	0	1	5	2	3
05 Sporting Cristal	6	3	2	0	1	4	2	2
06 Sport Boys	6	3	2	0	1	3	1	2
07 Deportivo Garcilaso	6	3	2	0	1	3	2	1
08 Los Chankas	6	3	2	0	1	5	5	0
09 Universitario De Deportes	6	3	2	0	1	4	4	0
10 Juan Pablo II College	4	3	1	1	1	4	4	0
11 UCV Moquegua	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
12 Atletico Grau	3	3	1	0	2	3	4	-1
13 Cienciano	3	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2
14 Alianza Atletico Sullana	3	3	1	0	2	5	8	-3
15 Comerciantes Unidos	2	3	0	2	1	6	7	-1
16 FC Cajamarca	1	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3
17 UTC Cajamarca	1	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5
18 AD Tarma	0	3	0	0	3	1	5	-4

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Alianza Lima	40	17	12	4	1	30	8	22
02 Los Chankas	34	17	10	4	3	25	21	4
03 Cienciano	33	17	10	3	4	34	22	12
04 Universitario De Deportes	29	17	8	5	4	24	15	9
05 FBC Melgar	28	17	8	4	5	29	20	9
06 Cusco FC	27	17	8	3	6	21	24	-3
07 Deportivo Garcilaso	26	17	7	5	5	21	18	3
08 Alianza Atletico Sullana	21	17	5	6	6	20	18	2
09 Comerciantes Unidos	21	17	5	6	6	18	20	-2
10 AD Tarma	20	17	5	5	7	22	21	1
11 Sport Boys	20	17	5	5	7	15	19	-4
12 Sporting Cristal	19	17	5	4	8	28	30	-2
13 UTC Cajamarca	18	17	4	6	7	21	26	-5
14 UCV Moquegua	18	17	5	3	9	17	24	-7
15 FC Cajamarca	17	17	4	5	8	23	28	-5
16 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	12	18	-6
17 Sport Huancayo	16	17	4	4	9	21	31	-10
18 Juan Pablo II College	16	17	4	4	9	22	40	-18

FC Cajamarca Last 6 matches

09/02/2026 16:30

FC Cajamarca 1 - 1 Deportivo Garcilaso PER L1

31/01/2026 16:15

Juan Pablo II College 3 - 3 FC Cajamarca PER L1

18/01/2026 16:35

FC Cajamarca 2 - 1 AD Tarma INT CF

02/11/2025 14:00

FC Cajamarca 2 - 0 UCV Moquegua PER D2

26/10/2025 14:00

UCV Moquegua 2 - 1 FC Cajamarca PER D2

19/10/2025 14:00

FC Cajamarca 3 - 0 Univ.Cesar Vallejo PER D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches FBC Melgar

08/02/2026 12:00

Sporting Cristal 1 - 2 FBC Melgar PER L1

31/01/2026 19:30

FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Cienciano PER L1

25/01/2026 19:00

FBC Melgar 2 - 1 Macara INT CF

20/01/2026 11:00

Universitario De Deportes 3 - 1 FBC Melgar INT CF

17/01/2026 15:30

FBC Melgar 2 - 0 UCV Moquegua INT CF

31/10/2025 21:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 2 FBC Melgar PER L1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FC Cajamarca

FBC Melgar

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 10 home matches

YesNo

7 (70%)3 (30%)

In last 10 home matches

NoYes

6 (60%)4 (40%)

FC Cajamarca

Recent matches

FBC Melgar

Under /Over

(90%)9 1(10%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(90%)9 1(10%)

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

Under /Over

(70%)7 3(30%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)6 4(40%)

/Yes

(80%)8 2(20%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)6 4(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Cajamarca

FBC Melgar

Shots

FC Cajamarca

Total shots

10.22 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 1.44

FBC Melgar

Total shots

11.67 avg / game

Blocked

27 total

Avg. 3.38

FC Cajamarca Pass FBC Melgar

Total passes

3129

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

3222

Avg. 358 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Cajamarca

Played games

FBC Melgar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.00

Clean sheets

0.40

2.50

Corners

3.20

16.10

161

Throw-ins

124

12.40

1.40

Offsides

1.30

3.50

GK saves

2.20

FC Cajamarca

DISCIPLINARY

FBC Melgar

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.80

0.80

0.10

0.20

14.00

140

Fouls

6.00

8.40

Tackles

5.50

NEXT MATCHES

Universitario De Deportes

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Cajamarca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FBC Melgar's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where FC Cajamarca and FBC Melgar sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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