FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

FC Arouca

L W L D W

8th place in Portugal Primera Liga

3-0

21/02/2026 11:30

Nacional da Madeira

L W W L L

14th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira preview before placing your bet.

FC Arouca are currently 8th with 42 points after 34 matches.
Nacional da Madeira sit 14th with 34 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FC Arouca to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors FC Arouca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional da Madeira have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:30

2026-02-21

FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira - Prediction & Odds

FC Arouca

Nacional da Madeira

2026-02-21 11:30

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

20/09/2025 10:30

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 2

FC Arouca

POR D1

01/02/2025 11:30

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 2

FC Arouca

POR D1

25/08/2024 10:30

FC Arouca

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D1

06/05/2018 06:15

FC Arouca

0 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

22/12/2017 11:00

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 2

FC Arouca

POR D2

28/01/2017 11:59

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 1

FC Arouca

POR D1

FC Arouca

50%

Draw

33%

Nacional da Madeira

17%

FC Arouca Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 16:30

FC Arouca 3 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

31/01/2026 14:00

Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Arouca POR D1

24/01/2026 14:00

FC Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting CP POR D1

17/01/2026 14:00

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1

03/01/2026 11:30

CD Tondela 3 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1

28/12/2025 11:30

FC Arouca 2 - 2 Gil Vicente POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Nacional da Madeira

08/02/2026 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 0 - 0 Casa Pia AC POR D1

01/02/2026 14:00

Sporting CP 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

25/01/2026 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

17/01/2026 11:30

Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

11/01/2026 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 3 Santa Clara POR D1

02/01/2026 16:45

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

197

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

179

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

189

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

202

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 257 matches

YesNo

133 (52%)124 (48%)

In last 257 matches

NoYes

128 (49%)131 (51%)

FC Arouca

Recent matches

Nacional da Madeira

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FC Arouca

Nacional da Madeira

Shots

FC Arouca

Total shots

11.28 avg / game

Blocked

461 total

Avg. 3.05

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

323 total

Avg. 3.08

FC Arouca Pass Nacional da Madeira

Total passes

71213

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

33435

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FC Arouca

257

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

259

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.25

3.90

1002

Corners

1150

4.44

12.91

3319

Throw-ins

2008

7.75

1.05

270

Offsides

226

0.87

2.03

522

GK saves

592

2.29

FC Arouca

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional da Madeira

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.29

589

621

2.40

0.15

0.14

10.06

2585

Fouls

2776

10.72

9.58

2463

Tackles

1341

5.18

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FC Arouca vs Nacional da Madeira Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FC Arouca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional da Madeira's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where FC Arouca and Nacional da Madeira sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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