FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 June

FBC Melgar

W D W L W

7th place in Clausura

0-1

28/06/2025 19:15

Alianza Lima

L W W D W

4th place in Clausura

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima on 28 June 2025 (kick-off: 19:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima preview before placing your bet.

FBC Melgar are currently 7th with 25 points after 17 matches.
Alianza Lima sit 4th with 31 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FBC Melgar to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors FBC Melgar, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alianza Lima have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:15

2025-06-28

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima - Prediction & Odds

FBC Melgar

Alianza Lima

2025-06-28 19:15

STANDINGS UP TO 28/06/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	29	13	16
02 Cusco FC	36	17	11	3	3	29	15	14
03 Sporting Cristal	31	17	9	4	4	29	13	16
04 Alianza Lima	31	17	9	4	4	30	19	11
05 Cienciano	27	17	8	3	6	25	21	4
06 Los Chankas	27	17	9	0	8	21	28	-7
07 FBC Melgar	25	17	6	7	4	24	17	7
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	25	17	6	7	4	20	21	-1
09 AD Tarma	25	17	7	4	6	19	20	-1
10 Alianza Atletico Sullana	23	17	6	5	6	15	12	3
11 Comerciantes Unidos	23	17	6	5	6	17	22	-5
12 Sport Huancayo	18	17	5	3	9	28	28	0
13 Ayacucho Futbol Club	17	17	5	2	10	17	26	-9
14 Alianza Universidad	17	17	5	2	10	23	33	-10
15 Atletico Grau	16	17	4	4	9	19	24	-5
16 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	25	-11
17 Juan Pablo II College	14	17	3	5	9	13	23	-10
18 UTC Cajamarca	13	17	3	4	10	16	28	-12
19 EM Deportivo Binacional	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	39	18	12	3	3	38	12	26
02 Alianza Lima	37	18	11	4	3	23	11	12
03 Cusco FC	34	18	10	4	4	34	20	14
04 Alianza Atletico Sullana	34	18	11	1	6	28	18	10
05 Sporting Cristal	32	18	10	2	6	31	24	7
06 FBC Melgar	31	18	8	7	3	28	20	8
07 Sport Huancayo	30	18	9	3	6	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Garcilaso	27	18	8	3	7	28	19	9
09 AD Tarma	24	18	6	6	6	24	30	-6
10 Cienciano	23	18	5	8	5	29	25	4
11 Los Chankas	23	18	5	8	5	24	25	-1
12 Atletico Grau	22	18	5	7	6	23	24	-1
13 Sport Boys	20	18	5	5	8	26	28	-2
14 Juan Pablo II College	19	18	5	4	9	20	28	-8
15 UTC Cajamarca	19	18	5	4	9	17	34	-17
16 EM Deportivo Binacional	18	18	4	6	8	20	33	-13
17 Ayacucho Futbol Club	15	18	4	3	11	14	27	-13
18 Comerciantes Unidos	11	18	2	5	11	17	31	-14
19 Alianza Universidad	11	18	2	5	11	16	33	-17

Head To Head

28/09/2024 21:30

Alianza Lima

1 - 1

FBC Melgar

PER D1

28/04/2024 18:30

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

28/09/2023 21:30

Alianza Lima

0 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

19/05/2023 19:30

FBC Melgar

2 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

12/11/2022 21:00

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

09/11/2022 16:00

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

FBC Melgar

50%

Draw

33%

Alianza Lima

17%

FBC Melgar Last 6 matches

21/06/2025 14:00

Sport Huancayo 2 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

14/06/2025 14:15

FBC Melgar 2 - 1 Sport Boys PER D1

27/05/2025 18:00

Vasco da Gama 3 - 0 FBC Melgar CON CSA

23/05/2025 16:30

Alianza Universidad 1 - 1 FBC Melgar PER D1

18/05/2025 19:00

FBC Melgar 1 - 1 Atletico Grau PER D1

13/05/2025 20:30

Academia Puerto Cabello 0 - 1 FBC Melgar CON CSA

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Alianza Lima

18/06/2025 20:00

Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 1 Alianza Lima PER D1

14/06/2025 21:00

Alianza Lima 0 - 0 Sport Huancayo PER D1

27/05/2025 18:30

Clud Libertad 2 - 2 Alianza Lima CON CLA

23/05/2025 21:00

Sport Boys 0 - 1 Alianza Lima PER D1

19/05/2025 21:00

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Alianza Universidad PER D1

15/05/2025 18:00

Talleres Cordoba 2 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

FBC Melgar

Alianza Lima

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

8 (47%)9 (53%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

FBC Melgar

Recent matches

Alianza Lima

Under /Over

(88%)15 2(12%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

/Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FBC Melgar

Alianza Lima

Shots

FBC Melgar

Total shots

13.35 avg / game

Blocked

29 total

Avg. 3.22

Alianza Lima

Total shots

18.00 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 4.18

FBC Melgar Pass Alianza Lima

Total passes

6586

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

7354

Avg. 409 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FBC Melgar

Played games

Alianza Lima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.47

5.29

Corners

102

5.37

8.00

136

Throw-ins

191

10.05

2.00

Offsides

1.63

2.00

GK saves

2.05

FBC Melgar

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Lima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

1.89

0.12

0.32

10.53

179

Fouls

237

12.47

9.29

158

Tackles

186

9.79

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Juan Pablo II College

Alianza Lima

PER

How We Build the FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima on 28 June 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FBC Melgar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Lima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where FBC Melgar and Alianza Lima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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