FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 28

FBC Melgar

D D W W W

4th place in Autumn

1-0

28/04/2024 18:30

Alianza Lima

W D W W W

2nd place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima on April 28, 2024 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima preview before placing for you.

FBC Melgar are currently 4th with 32 points after 17 matches.
Alianza Lima sit 2nd with 36 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FBC Melgar to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors FBC Melgar, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Alianza Lima have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2024-04-28

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima - Prediction & Odds

FBC Melgar

Alianza Lima

2024-04-28 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	37	17	11	4	2	31	10	21
02 Alianza Lima	36	17	11	3	3	25	11	14
03 Sporting Cristal	34	17	10	4	3	47	15	32
04 FBC Melgar	32	17	9	5	3	30	16	14
05 Atletico Grau	32	17	8	8	1	25	11	14
06 Cusco FC	31	17	9	4	4	28	23	5
07 Alianza Atletico Sullana	30	17	8	6	3	17	15	2
08 Cienciano	26	17	8	2	7	28	24	4
09 AD Tarma	23	17	6	5	6	18	16	2
10 Deportivo Garcilaso	23	17	7	2	8	17	17	0
11 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	21	28	-7
12 Los Chankas	18	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7
14 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	31	-17
15 UTC Cajamarca	15	17	3	6	8	14	24	-10
16 Comerciantes Unidos	13	17	3	4	10	14	29	-15
17 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	10	17	2	4	11	15	31	-16
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	8	17	2	2	13	13	45	-32

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	32	7	25
02 Sporting Cristal	40	17	13	1	3	44	20	24
03 FBC Melgar	38	17	12	2	3	36	19	17
04 Alianza Lima	33	17	11	0	6	32	16	16
05 Cusco FC	29	17	9	2	6	22	21	1
06 AD Tarma	28	17	8	4	5	29	24	5
07 Cienciano	26	17	6	8	3	20	20	0
08 Comerciantes Unidos	22	17	6	4	7	22	31	-9
09 Los Chankas	21	17	6	3	8	25	26	-1
10 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	20	17	4	8	5	19	24	-5
11 Atletico Grau	19	17	4	7	6	19	17	2
12 Sport Boys	19	17	5	4	8	18	20	-2
13 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
14 UTC Cajamarca	16	17	4	4	9	21	29	-8
15 Deportivo Garcilaso	14	17	3	5	9	20	26	-6
16 Alianza Atletico Sullana	14	17	3	5	9	11	19	-8
17 Carlos Manucci	14	17	3	5	9	11	34	-23
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	9	17	1	6	10	17	34	-17

Head To Head

28/09/2023 21:30

Alianza Lima

0 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

19/05/2023 19:30

FBC Melgar

2 - 1

Alianza Lima

PER D1

12/11/2022 21:00

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

09/11/2022 16:00

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

21/09/2022 20:30

Alianza Lima

2 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

12/03/2022 16:30

FBC Melgar

1 - 0

Alianza Lima

PER D1

FBC Melgar

50%

Draw

17%

Alianza Lima

33%

FBC Melgar Last 6 matches

21/04/2024 15:30

Atletico Grau 1 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

13/04/2024 18:00

FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Carlos Manucci PER D1

06/04/2024 14:00

Los Chankas 2 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

30/03/2024 17:45

FBC Melgar 2 - 0 Cienciano PER D1

13/03/2024 22:00

Sporting Cristal 1 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

09/03/2024 16:30

FBC Melgar 3 - 1 AD Tarma PER D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Alianza Lima

23/04/2024 20:30

Colo Colo 0 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

18/04/2024 21:00

Alianza Lima 3 - 0 Sport Boys PER D1

14/04/2024 20:30

Alianza Lima 2 - 0 Atletico Grau PER D1

10/04/2024 18:00

Cerro Porteno 1 - 0 Alianza Lima CON CLA

06/04/2024 18:30

Carlos Manucci 0 - 4 Alianza Lima PER D1

03/04/2024 20:30

Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Fluminense RJ CON CLA

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

212

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

135

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 258 matches

YesNo

145 (56%)113 (44%)

In last 258 matches

NoYes

162 (61%)105 (39%)

FBC Melgar

Recent matches

Alianza Lima

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FBC Melgar

Alianza Lima

Shots

FBC Melgar

Total shots

12.54 avg / game

Blocked

372 total

Avg. 3.05

Alianza Lima

Total shots

11.88 avg / game

Blocked

367 total

Avg. 2.84

FBC Melgar Pass Alianza Lima

Total passes

76594

Avg. 375 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

74232

Avg. 352 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FBC Melgar

258

Played games

Alianza Lima

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

112

0.42

5.27

1360

Corners

1297

4.86

5.47

1412

Throw-ins

1343

5.03

1.98

510

Offsides

417

1.56

2.04

526

GK saves

582

2.18

FBC Melgar

DISCIPLINARY

Alianza Lima

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

529

592

2.22

0.17

0.17

10.53

2717

Fouls

3059

11.46

9.79

2525

Tackles

2675

10.02

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Juan Pablo II College

Alianza Lima

PER

How We Build the FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FBC Melgar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alianza Lima's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where FBC Melgar and Alianza Lima sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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