FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 March

FBC Melgar

D D W W W

4th place in Autumn

3-1

09/03/2024 13:30

AD Tarma

D L L W D

9th place in Autumn

Peru Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma on 09 March 2024 (kick-off: 13:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma preview before placing your bet.

FBC Melgar are currently 4th with 32 points after 17 matches.
AD Tarma sit 9th with 23 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: FBC Melgar to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors FBC Melgar, who have won 2 of the last 4 meetings. AD Tarma have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:30

2024-03-09

FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma - Prediction & Odds

FBC Melgar

AD Tarma

2024-03-09 13:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	37	17	11	4	2	31	10	21
02 Alianza Lima	36	17	11	3	3	25	11	14
03 Sporting Cristal	34	17	10	4	3	47	15	32
04 FBC Melgar	32	17	9	5	3	30	16	14
05 Atletico Grau	32	17	8	8	1	25	11	14
06 Cusco FC	31	17	9	4	4	28	23	5
07 Alianza Atletico Sullana	30	17	8	6	3	17	15	2
08 Cienciano	26	17	8	2	7	28	24	4
09 AD Tarma	23	17	6	5	6	18	16	2
10 Deportivo Garcilaso	23	17	7	2	8	17	17	0
11 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	21	28	-7
12 Los Chankas	18	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4
13 Carlos Manucci	17	17	4	5	8	23	30	-7
14 Sport Boys	16	17	4	4	9	14	31	-17
15 UTC Cajamarca	15	17	3	6	8	14	24	-10
16 Comerciantes Unidos	13	17	3	4	10	14	29	-15
17 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	10	17	2	4	11	15	31	-16
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	8	17	2	2	13	13	45	-32

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Universitario De Deportes	40	17	12	4	1	32	7	25
02 Sporting Cristal	40	17	13	1	3	44	20	24
03 FBC Melgar	38	17	12	2	3	36	19	17
04 Alianza Lima	33	17	11	0	6	32	16	16
05 Cusco FC	29	17	9	2	6	22	21	1
06 AD Tarma	28	17	8	4	5	29	24	5
07 Cienciano	26	17	6	8	3	20	20	0
08 Comerciantes Unidos	22	17	6	4	7	22	31	-9
09 Los Chankas	21	17	6	3	8	25	26	-1
10 Univ.Cesar Vallejo	20	17	4	8	5	19	24	-5
11 Atletico Grau	19	17	4	7	6	19	17	2
12 Sport Boys	19	17	5	4	8	18	20	-2
13 Sport Huancayo	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
14 UTC Cajamarca	16	17	4	4	9	21	29	-8
15 Deportivo Garcilaso	14	17	3	5	9	20	26	-6
16 Alianza Atletico Sullana	14	17	3	5	9	11	19	-8
17 Carlos Manucci	14	17	3	5	9	11	34	-23
18 Deportivo Union Comercio	9	17	1	6	10	17	34	-17

Head To Head

22/06/2023 16:00

FBC Melgar

4 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

26/03/2023 13:30

AD Tarma

0 - 0

FBC Melgar

PER D1

05/10/2022 13:00

AD Tarma

1 - 1

FBC Melgar

PER D1

13/05/2022 13:30

FBC Melgar

3 - 0

AD Tarma

PER D1

FBC Melgar

50%

Draw

50%

AD Tarma

FBC Melgar Last 6 matches

24/02/2024 15:30

FBC Melgar 2 - 1 Deportivo Union Comercio PER D1

17/02/2024 18:00

Universitario De Deportes 2 - 0 FBC Melgar PER D1

14/02/2024 17:30

FBC Melgar 1 - 1 Aurora CON CLA

10/02/2024 13:00

FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana PER D1

07/02/2024 17:30

Aurora 1 - 0 FBC Melgar CON CLA

02/02/2024 18:00

Univ.Cesar Vallejo 3 - 2 FBC Melgar PER D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches AD Tarma

25/02/2024 11:45

Atletico Grau 2 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

17/02/2024 13:00

AD Tarma 4 - 0 Carlos Manucci PER D1

11/02/2024 13:00

Los Chankas 2 - 0 AD Tarma PER D1

03/02/2024 13:00

AD Tarma 1 - 1 Cienciano PER D1

27/01/2024 13:00

Sporting Cristal 6 - 2 AD Tarma PER D1

29/10/2023 13:00

AD Tarma 0 - 0 Carlos Manucci PER D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Peru Primera Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

212

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

156

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

120

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

115

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 257 matches

YesNo

145 (56%)112 (44%)

In last 257 matches

NoYes

84 (49%)87 (51%)

FBC Melgar

Recent matches

AD Tarma

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(69%)31 14(31%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

FBC Melgar

AD Tarma

Shots

FBC Melgar

Total shots

12.55 avg / game

Blocked

368 total

Avg. 3.04

AD Tarma

Total shots

13.15 avg / game

Blocked

213 total

Avg. 2.66

FBC Melgar Pass AD Tarma

Total passes

75964

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

43800

Avg. 320 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

FBC Melgar

257

Played games

AD Tarma

171

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.36

Clean sheets

0.32

5.27

1355

Corners

814

4.76

5.42

1394

Throw-ins

1160

6.78

1.98

509

Offsides

258

1.51

2.05

526

GK saves

410

2.40

FBC Melgar

DISCIPLINARY

AD Tarma

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.06

529

355

2.08

0.18

0.20

10.53

2707

Fouls

1637

9.57

9.80

2519

Tackles

1712

10.01

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Alianza Atletico Sullana

PER

08/22

Juan Pablo II College

How We Build the FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma on 09 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Peru Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

FBC Melgar vs AD Tarma Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess FBC Melgar's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AD Tarma's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Peru Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Peru Primera Division standings and the Peru Primera Division form table to understand exactly where FBC Melgar and AD Tarma sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Peru Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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