Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 29 January

Excelsior SBV

W D L D W

15th place in Holland Eredivisie

1 - 4

29/01/2023 09:30

AFC Ajax

W L D W W

3rd place in Holland Eredivisie

Holland Eredivisie

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 29 January 2023 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax preview before placing your bet.

Excelsior SBV are currently 15th with 32 points after 34 matches.
AFC Ajax sit 3rd with 69 points from 34 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 29/01/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Feyenoord	82	34	25	7	2	81	30	51
02 PSV Eindhoven	75	34	23	6	5	89	40	49
03 AFC Ajax	69	34	20	9	5	86	38	48
04 AZ Alkmaar	67	34	20	7	7	68	35	33
05 FC Twente Enschede	64	34	18	10	6	66	27	39
06 Sparta Rotterdam	59	34	17	8	9	60	37	23
07 FC Utrecht	54	34	15	9	10	55	50	5
08 SC Heerenveen	46	34	12	10	12	44	50	-6
09 RKC Waalwijk	41	34	11	8	15	50	64	-14
10 Vitesse Arnhem	40	34	10	10	14	45	50	-5
11 Go Ahead Eagles	40	34	10	10	14	46	56	-10
12 NEC Nijmegen	39	34	8	15	11	42	45	-3
13 Fortuna Sittard	36	34	10	6	18	39	62	-23
14 Volendam	36	34	10	6	18	42	71	-29
15 Excelsior SBV	32	34	9	5	20	32	71	-39
16 Emmen	28	34	6	10	18	33	65	-32
17 SC Cambuur	19	34	5	4	25	26	69	-43
18 Groningen	18	34	4	6	24	31	75	-44

Excelsior SBV Last 6 matches

24/07/2026 23:30

Heracles Almelo 3 - 5 Excelsior SBV International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 20:00

NAC Breda 1 - 3 Excelsior SBV International Club Friendly

11/07/2026 19:30

Dordrecht 0 - 2 Excelsior SBV International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 18:00

Excelsior SBV 3 - 2 SC Cambuur International Club Friendly

17/05/2026 19:30

Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 3 Excelsior SBV Holland Eredivisie

10/05/2026 21:45

Excelsior SBV 1 - 1 Volendam Holland Eredivisie

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches AFC Ajax

26/07/2026 19:00

AFC Ajax 2 - 1 Burnley International Club Friendly

24/07/2026 01:00

Vojvodina Novi Sad 1 - 4 AFC Ajax UEFA Conference League

18/07/2026 20:30

AFC Ajax 1 - 0 Olympiakos Piraeus International Club Friendly

15/07/2026 22:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 1 VfL Bochum International Club Friendly

10/07/2026 23:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 0 AEK Larnaca International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 22:00

AFC Ajax 1 - 3 Panathinaikos International Club Friendly

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Holland Eredivisie

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

249

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

285

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored

333

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 279 matches

YesNo

159 (57%)120 (43%)

In last 279 matches

NoYes

199 (66%)101 (34%)

Excelsior SBV

Recent matches

AFC Ajax

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Excelsior SBV

AFC Ajax

Shots

Excelsior SBV

Total shots

12.28 avg / game

Blocked

475 total

Avg. 3.17

AFC Ajax

Total shots

15.01 avg / game

Blocked

916 total

Avg. 3.98

Excelsior SBV Pass AFC Ajax

Total passes

79516

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

146385

Avg. 567 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Excelsior SBV

279

Played games

AFC Ajax

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.39

1226

Corners

1708

5.69

10.32

2879

Throw-ins

4360

14.53

1.10

307

Offsides

496

1.65

3.24

904

GK saves

764

2.55

Excelsior SBV

DISCIPLINARY

AFC Ajax

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.16

324

441

1.47

0.07

0.08

8.65

2412

Fouls

2940

9.80

10.30

2874

Tackles

3611

12.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax on 29 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Holland Eredivisie fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Excelsior SBV vs AFC Ajax Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Excelsior SBV's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against AFC Ajax's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Holland Eredivisie Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Holland Eredivisie standings and the Holland Eredivisie form table to understand exactly where Excelsior SBV and AFC Ajax sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Holland Eredivisie predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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