Ethiopia vs Malawi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 June

Ethiopia
WWWLW
No standing data
1
1-1
FT
09/06/2026 11:00
Malawi
LLDWD
No standing data
International Friendly
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 09 June 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ethiopia vs Malawi preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Ethiopia to win with probability 38%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Ethiopia and Malawi have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:00

2026-06-09

Ethiopia vs Malawi - Prediction & Odds

Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Malawi
Malawi
2026-06-09 11:00
38
29
33
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
2.41
FT
1-1 1-1
-
weather
34°C
STANDINGS UP TO 09/06/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Ethiopia and Malawi in the International Friendly football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
06/06/2026 11:00
Ethiopia Ethiopia
1 - 0
Malawi Malawi
INT FRL
20/06/2023 10:00
Ethiopia Ethiopia
0 - 0
Malawi Malawi
CAF NC
05/06/2022 09:00
Malawi Malawi
2 - 1
Ethiopia Ethiopia
CAF NC
17/03/2021 09:10
Ethiopia Ethiopia
4 - 0
Malawi Malawi
INT FRL
19/11/2014 11:59
Ethiopia Ethiopia
0 - 0
Malawi Malawi
CAF NC
10/09/2014 08:30
Malawi Malawi
3 - 2
Ethiopia Ethiopia
CAF NC
Ethiopia
2
33%
Draw
2
33%
Malawi
2
33%
Ethiopia Ethiopia Last 6 matches
06/06/2026 11:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi INT FRL
31/03/2026 09:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Sao Tome and Principe CAF NC
27/03/2026 12:00
Sao Tome and Principe 0 - 3 Ethiopia CAF NC
12/10/2025 15:00
Burkina Faso 3 - 1 Ethiopia WCPAF
08/10/2025 09:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau WCPAF
09/09/2025 09:00
Sierra Leone 2 - 0 Ethiopia WCPAF
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Malawi Malawi
06/06/2026 11:00
Ethiopia 1 - 0 Malawi INT FRL
31/03/2026 09:00
Botswana 1 - 0 Malawi INT FRL
28/03/2026 09:00
Zambia U23 0 - 0 Malawi INT FRL
18/11/2025 10:40
Lesotho 0 - 1 Malawi INT FRL
15/11/2025 10:30
Lesotho 0 - 0 Malawi INT FRL
13/10/2025 09:00
Sao Tome and Principe 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues International Friendly

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
69
 Malawi
Malawi
78
Goals
Scored
40
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
34
Avg. per game
0.49
Scored
38
Avg. per game
0.49
Conceded
49
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 69 matches
YesNo
30 (43%)39 (57%)
In last 69 matches
NoYes
27 (35%)51 (65%)
Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Recent matches

Malawi

Malawi

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(27%)12 33(73%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Ethiopia Ethiopia
Malawi Malawi
Shots
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
Total shots
8.22 avg / game
Blocked
29 total
Avg. 2.90
Malawi
Malawi
Total shots
8.20 avg / game
Blocked
17 total
Avg. 1.89
Ethiopia Ethiopia Pass Malawi Malawi
Total passes
7259
Avg. 484 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
3912
Avg. 245 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
46%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
4337
Avg. 62.86 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
5191
Avg. 66.55 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
2254
Avg. 32.67 / game
 Malawi
Malawi
3009
Avg. 38.58 / game
OTHERS
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
69
Played games
Malawi
Malawi
78
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.36
25
Clean sheets
29
0.37
2.13
147
Corners
242
3.10
3.14
217
Throw-ins
178
2.28
0.77
53
Offsides
48
0.62
1.23
85
GK saves
78
1.00
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
DISCIPLINARY
Malawi
Malawi
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.83
57
Yellow card
91
1.17
0.01
1
Red card
3
0.04
4.13
285
Fouls
346
4.44
2.90
200
Tackles
172
2.21
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How We Build the Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ethiopia vs Malawi on 09 June 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ethiopia vs Malawi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ethiopia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Malawi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Friendly standings and the International Friendly form table to understand exactly where Ethiopia and Malawi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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