Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 January

Estrela da Amadora

W W L D L

3rd place in Portugal Segunda Liga

3 - 0

22/01/2023 11:30

Penafiel

L L D W L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel on 22 January 2023 (kick-off: 11:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Estrela da Amadora are currently 3rd with 63 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 22/01/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Moreirense	79	34	24	7	3	77	38	39
02 SC Farense	69	34	21	6	7	57	34	23
03 Estrela da Amadora	63	34	16	15	3	55	35	20
04 Viseu	53	34	14	11	9	51	45	6
05 Porto B	51	34	14	9	11	48	40	8
06 CD Mafra	47	34	12	11	11	46	49	-3
07 Vilafranquense	46	34	12	10	12	42	36	6
08 Feirense	46	34	11	13	10	43	37	6
09 SCU Torreense	44	34	13	5	16	38	41	-3
10 Oliveirense	43	34	11	10	13	51	50	1
11 CD Tondela	40	34	8	16	10	35	35	0
12 Leixoes	39	34	10	9	15	38	49	-11
13 Penafiel	39	34	9	12	13	36	47	-11
14 Nacional da Madeira	39	34	10	9	15	35	46	-11
15 SL Benfica B	38	34	10	8	16	52	58	-6
16 Belenenses	35	34	9	8	17	41	59	-18
17 Clube Desportivo Trofense	32	34	8	8	18	31	51	-20
18 SC Covilha	28	34	7	7	20	31	57	-26

Estrela da Amadora Last 6 matches

02/08/2026 00:00

Estrela da Amadora 4 - 2 Al-Nassr International Club Friendly

30/07/2026 00:00

Estrela da Amadora 1 - 0 Lusitano Evora International Club Friendly

29/07/2026 15:00

Estrela da Amadora 1 - 1 Portimonense International Club Friendly

23/07/2026 23:30

Estrela da Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional da Madeira International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 16:30

Estrela da Amadora 1 - 2 Casa Pia AC International Club Friendly

15/07/2026 16:00

Estrela da Amadora 2 - 0 Associacao Naval International Club Friendly

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

02/08/2026 00:00

Penafiel 0 - 2 Gil Vicente International Club Friendly

01/08/2026 16:30

Penafiel 0 - 2 Sporting Braga II International Club Friendly

24/07/2026 16:45

Penafiel 0 - 2 Leganes International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 19:00

FC Famalicao 0 - 0 Penafiel International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 15:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 5 - 0 Penafiel International Club Friendly

18/05/2026 02:30

Pacos de Ferreira 2 - 1 Penafiel Liga Portugal 2

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

158

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

195

Avg. per game

0.86

Scored

155

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

186

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 228 matches

YesNo

112 (49%)116 (51%)

In last 228 matches

NoYes

115 (48%)127 (52%)

Estrela da Amadora

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Estrela da Amadora

Penafiel

Shots

Estrela da Amadora

Total shots

10.58 avg / game

Blocked

229 total

Avg. 2.60

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Estrela da Amadora Pass Penafiel

Total passes

36870

Avg. 355 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Estrela da Amadora

228

Played games

Penafiel

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.31

4.14

945

Corners

1129

4.67

9.64

2199

Throw-ins

682

2.82

1.03

235

Offsides

137

0.57

1.88

428

GK saves

403

1.67

Estrela da Amadora

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.44

557

597

2.47

0.12

0.11

9.94

2266

Fouls

2487

10.28

6.92

1577

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel on 22 January 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Estrela da Amadora vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Estrela da Amadora's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Estrela da Amadora and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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