Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 26

Estoril

L L L D D

10th place in Portugal Primera Liga

1-1

26/10/2025 15:30

Nacional da Madeira

L W W L L

14th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira on October 26, 2025 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira preview before placing for you.

Estoril are currently 10th with 39 points after 34 matches.
Nacional da Madeira sit 14th with 34 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Estoril to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Estoril, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional da Madeira have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2025-10-26

Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira - Prediction & Odds

Estoril

Nacional da Madeira

2025-10-26 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

15/02/2025 17:00

Nacional da Madeira

2 - 2

Estoril

POR D1

15/09/2024 17:00

Estoril

1 - 0

Nacional da Madeira

POR D1

25/07/2021 17:00

Nacional da Madeira

1 - 2

Estoril

PORLC

14/12/2019 11:00

Estoril

1 - 2

Nacional da Madeira

POR D2

14/07/2018 15:59

Estoril

2 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

INT CF

09/04/2017 15:00

Estoril

0 - 1

Nacional da Madeira

POR D1

Estoril

50%

Draw

17%

Nacional da Madeira

33%

Estoril Last 6 matches

03/10/2025 19:15

Casa Pia AC 2 - 2 Estoril POR D1

27/09/2025 19:30

Estoril 0 - 1 Sporting CP POR D1

21/09/2025 17:00

Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Estoril POR D1

13/09/2025 14:30

Estoril 3 - 1 AVS Futebol SAD POR D1

06/09/2025 19:30

Estoril 0 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

31/08/2025 14:30

CD Tondela 2 - 2 Estoril POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Nacional da Madeira

18/10/2025 14:00

ADC Rebordelo 1 - 3 Nacional da Madeira POR CUP

04/10/2025 14:30

Nacional da Madeira 3 - 2 Moreirense POR D1

28/09/2025 17:00

Sporting Braga 0 - 1 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

20/09/2025 14:30

Nacional da Madeira 1 - 2 FC Arouca POR D1

13/09/2025 17:00

FC Porto 1 - 0 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

30/08/2025 14:30

Casa Pia AC 0 - 2 Nacional da Madeira POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Estoril

Nacional da Madeira

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

9 (53%)8 (47%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

Estoril

Recent matches

Nacional da Madeira

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

Under /Over

(47%)8 9(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

/Yes

(71%)12 5(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)8 9(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Estoril

Nacional da Madeira

Shots

Estoril

Total shots

11.94 avg / game

Blocked

32 total

Avg. 2.46

Nacional da Madeira

Total shots

13.06 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 3.47

Estoril Pass Nacional da Madeira

Total passes

7235

Avg. 452 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

5375

Avg. 336 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Estoril

Played games

Nacional da Madeira

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.12

Clean sheets

0.29

4.53

Corners

4.65

19.18

326

Throw-ins

312

18.35

1.18

Offsides

1.24

2.88

GK saves

2.82

Estoril

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional da Madeira

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

3.00

0.00

0.29

11.94

203

Fouls

225

13.24

8.82

150

Tackles

171

10.06

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira on 26 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Estoril vs Nacional da Madeira Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Estoril's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional da Madeira's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Estoril and Nacional da Madeira sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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