Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Equatorial Guinea

D L W L L

2nd place in Group E

1-0

11/10/2024 09:00

Liberia

L D W D D

4th place in Group E

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia preview before placing your bet.

Equatorial Guinea are currently 2nd with 8 points after 6 matches.
Liberia sit 4th with 4 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Equatorial Guinea to win with probability 57%.
Head-to-head history favors Equatorial Guinea, who have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. Liberia have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-10-11

Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia - Prediction & Odds

Equatorial Guinea

Liberia

2024-10-11 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Algeria	16	6	5	1	0	16	2	14
02 Equatorial Guinea	8	6	2	2	2	5	8	-3
03 Togo	5	6	1	2	3	7	10	-3
04 Liberia	4	6	1	1	4	4	12	-8

Group E	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Algeria	9	3	3	0	0	7	1	6
02 Burkina Faso	6	3	2	0	1	4	2	2
03 Sudan	3	3	1	0	2	1	5	-4
04 Equatorial Guinea	0	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4

Head To Head

20/11/2023 11:59

Liberia

0 - 1

Equatorial Guinea

WCPAF

15/08/2012 09:00

Equatorial Guinea

1 - 0

Liberia

INT CF

17/06/2007 11:59

Liberia

0 - 0

Equatorial Guinea

CAF NC

03/09/2006 07:00

Equatorial Guinea

2 - 1

Liberia

CAF NC

Equatorial Guinea

75%

Draw

25%

Liberia

Equatorial Guinea Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 11:00

Equatorial Guinea 2 - 2 Togo CAF NC

05/09/2024 15:00

Algeria 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea CAF NC

10/06/2024 09:00

Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Malawi WCPAF

05/06/2024 15:00

Tunisia 1 - 0 Equatorial Guinea WCPAF

25/03/2024 15:00

Cape Verde 1 - 0 Equatorial Guinea INT FRL

22/03/2024 15:00

Equatorial Guinea 2 - 0 Cambodia INT FRL

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Liberia

10/09/2024 12:00

Liberia 0 - 3 Algeria CAF NC

06/09/2024 12:00

Togo 1 - 1 Liberia CAF NC

09/06/2024 09:00

Sao Tome Principe 0 - 1 Liberia WCPAF

05/06/2024 11:59

Namibia 1 - 1 Liberia WCPAF

26/03/2024 11:59

Liberia 0 - 0 Djibouti CAF NC

20/03/2024 18:00

Djibouti 0 - 2 Liberia CAF NC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Equatorial Guinea

Liberia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 67 matches

YesNo

26 (39%)41 (61%)

In last 67 matches

NoYes

22 (40%)33 (60%)

Equatorial Guinea

Recent matches

Liberia

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Equatorial Guinea

Liberia

Shots

Equatorial Guinea

Total shots

9.84 avg / game

Blocked

36 total

Avg. 2.40

Liberia

Total shots

7.53 avg / game

Blocked

4 total

Avg. 2.00

Equatorial Guinea Pass Liberia

Total passes

7247

Avg. 315 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

2668

Avg. 243 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Equatorial Guinea

Played games

Liberia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.18

2.16

145

Corners

129

2.35

4.04

271

Throw-ins

160

2.91

0.82

Offsides

0.60

1.18

GK saves

0.75

Equatorial Guinea

DISCIPLINARY

Liberia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

1.15

0.04

0.04

7.10

476

Fouls

223

4.05

3.70

248

Tackles

119

2.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Equatorial Guinea's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Liberia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Equatorial Guinea and Liberia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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