England vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 October

England

W W D W W

1st place in Group C

3-1

17/10/2023 14:45

Italy

W W D W L

2nd place in Group C

UEFA European Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for England vs Italy on 17 October 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full England vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

England are currently 1st with 20 points after 8 matches.
Italy sit 2nd with 14 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: England to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: England and Italy have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2023-10-17

England vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

England

Italy

2023-10-17 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 17/10/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	20	8	6	2	0	22	4	18
02 Italy	14	8	4	2	2	16	9	7
03 Ukraine	14	8	4	2	2	11	8	3
04 North Macedonia	8	8	2	2	4	10	20	-10
05 Malta	0	8	0	0	8	2	20	-18

Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	9	3	3	0	0	5	0	5
02 Italy	4	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
03 Croatia	2	3	0	2	1	3	6	-3
04 Albania	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 England	5	3	1	2	0	2	1	1
02 Denmark	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Slovenia	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
04 Serbia	2	3	0	2	1	1	2	-1

Head To Head

23/03/2023 15:45

Italy

1 - 2

England

EURO Cup

23/09/2022 14:45

Italy

1 - 0

England

UEFA NL

11/06/2022 14:45

England

0 - 0

Italy

UEFA NL

11/07/2021 15:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

EURO Cup

27/03/2018 15:00

England

1 - 1

Italy

INT FRL

31/03/2015 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

England

INT FRL

England

17%

Draw

67%

Italy

17%

England Last 6 matches

13/10/2023 14:45

England 1 - 0 Australia INT FRL

12/09/2023 14:45

Scotland 1 - 3 England INT FRL

09/09/2023 11:59

Ukraine 1 - 1 England EURO Cup

19/06/2023 14:45

England 7 - 0 North Macedonia EURO Cup

16/06/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 4 England EURO Cup

26/03/2023 11:59

England 2 - 0 Ukraine EURO Cup

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Italy

14/10/2023 14:45

Italy 4 - 0 Malta EURO Cup

12/09/2023 14:45

Italy 2 - 1 Ukraine EURO Cup

09/09/2023 14:45

North Macedonia 1 - 1 Italy EURO Cup

18/06/2023 09:00

Netherlands 2 - 3 Italy UEFA NL

15/06/2023 14:45

Spain 2 - 1 Italy UEFA NL

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA European Champion...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

England

Italy

Goals

Scored

119

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 96 matches

YesNo

65 (68%)31 (32%)

In last 96 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

England

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

England

Italy

Shots

England

Total shots

14.40 avg / game

Blocked

279 total

Avg. 3.88

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

England Pass Italy

Total passes

47965

Avg. 615 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

62%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

England

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.55

Clean sheets

0.47

5.05

485

Corners

425

5.00

13.28

1275

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

1.44

138

Offsides

150

1.76

1.50

144

GK saves

161

1.89

England

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.03

122

1.44

0.03

0.05

8.35

802

Fouls

830

9.76

9.24

887

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the England vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for England vs Italy on 17 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA European Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

England vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess England's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA European Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA European Championship standings and the UEFA European Championship form table to understand exactly where England and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA European Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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