Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 16

Dundalk

W W L W W

5th place in Ireland Premier Division

2 - 2

16/04/2023 14:00

Derry City

L W D D W

2nd place in Ireland Premier Division

Ireland Premier Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dundalk vs Derry City on April 16, 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dundalk vs Derry City preview before placing for you.

Dundalk are currently 5th with 58 points after 36 matches.
Derry City sit 2nd with 65 points from 36 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Dundalk, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Derry City have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Shamrock Rovers	72	36	20	12	4	67	27	40
02 Derry City	65	36	18	11	7	57	24	33
03 St. Patricks Athletic	62	36	19	5	12	59	42	17
04 Shelbourne	60	36	15	15	6	44	27	17
05 Dundalk	58	36	17	7	12	59	44	15
06 Bohemians	58	36	16	10	10	53	40	13
07 Drogheda United	41	36	10	11	15	40	54	-14
08 Sligo Rovers	37	36	10	7	19	36	51	-15
09 Cork City	31	36	8	7	21	35	64	-29
10 UC Dublin	11	36	2	5	29	19	96	-77

Head To Head

10/03/2023 19:45

Derry City

0 - 0

Dundalk

IRE PR

06/11/2022 19:00

Derry City

0 - 1

Dundalk

IRE PR

05/08/2022 18:45

Dundalk

1 - 1

Derry City

IRE PR

20/05/2022 18:45

Derry City

1 - 2

Dundalk

IRE PR

18/02/2022 19:45

Dundalk

2 - 2

Derry City

IRE PR

19/11/2021 19:45

Dundalk

1 - 2

Derry City

IRE PR

Dundalk

33%

Draw

50%

Derry City

17%

Dundalk Last 6 matches

31/03/2023 18:45

Dundalk 0 - 4 Shamrock Rovers IRE PR

24/03/2023 19:45

Dundalk 0 - 4 Shelbourne Leinster S C

16/03/2023 19:45

Drogheda United 0 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

10/03/2023 19:45

Derry City 0 - 0 Dundalk IRE PR

06/03/2023 19:45

Dundalk 2 - 1 Shelbourne IRE PR

03/03/2023 19:45

Dundalk 5 - 0 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derry City

31/03/2023 18:45

Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City IRE PR

17/03/2023 19:45

Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers IRE PR

10/03/2023 19:45

Derry City 0 - 0 Dundalk IRE PR

06/03/2023 19:45

UC Dublin 0 - 4 Derry City IRE PR

03/03/2023 20:00

Shamrock Rovers 1 - 2 Derry City IRE PR

24/02/2023 19:45

Derry City 2 - 0 Cork City IRE PR

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ireland Premier Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Dundalk

Derry City

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.22

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

1.11

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.22

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

12 (67%)6 (33%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

11 (61%)7 (39%)

Dundalk

Recent matches

Derry City

Under /Over

(94%)17 1(6%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)12 6(33%)

Under /Over

(44%)8 10(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)3 15(83%)

Under /Over

(72%)13 5(28%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

/Yes

(67%)12 6(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(22%)4 14(78%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dundalk

Derry City

Shots

Dundalk

Total shots

12.39 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.43

Derry City

Total shots

15.33 avg / game

Blocked

25 total

Avg. 3.57

Dundalk Pass Derry City

Total passes

4110

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

4240

Avg. 471 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Dundalk

Played games

Derry City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.61

5.11

Corners

141

7.83

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.00

Offsides

0.89

1.56

GK saves

1.61

Dundalk

DISCIPLINARY

Derry City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.33

1.78

0.17

0.17

11.22

202

Fouls

166

9.22

6.44

116

Tackles

105

5.83

NEXT MATCHES

St. Patricks Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dundalk vs Derry City on 16 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ireland Premier Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dundalk vs Derry City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dundalk's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derry City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ireland Premier Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ireland Premier Division standings and the Ireland Premier Division form table to understand exactly where Dundalk and Derry City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ireland Premier Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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