Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 18

Dundalk

L L D L L

10th place in Ireland Premier Division

0-2

18/10/2024 14:45

Derry City

L D D W L

4th place in Ireland Premier Division

Ireland Premier Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Dundalk vs Derry City on October 18, 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Dundalk vs Derry City preview before placing for you.

Dundalk are currently 10th with 26 points after 36 matches.
Derry City sit 4th with 55 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derry City to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Dundalk have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-18

Dundalk vs Derry City - Prediction & Odds

Dundalk

Derry City

2024-10-18 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 18/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Shelbourne	63	36	17	12	7	40	27	13
02 Shamrock Rovers	61	36	17	10	9	50	35	15
03 St. Patricks Athletic	59	36	17	8	11	51	37	14
04 Derry City	55	36	14	13	9	48	31	17
05 Galway United	52	36	13	13	10	33	29	4
06 Sligo Rovers	49	36	13	10	13	40	51	-11
07 Waterford United	45	36	13	6	17	43	47	-4
08 Bohemians	42	36	10	12	14	39	43	-4
09 Drogheda United	34	36	7	13	16	41	58	-17
10 Dundalk	26	36	5	11	20	23	50	-27

Head To Head

09/08/2024 14:45

Derry City

1 - 1

Dundalk

IRE PR

31/05/2024 14:45

Dundalk

0 - 0

Derry City

IRE PR

05/04/2024 14:45

Derry City

4 - 1

Dundalk

IRE PR

01/09/2023 14:45

Dundalk

1 - 3

Derry City

IRE PR

15/05/2023 14:45

Derry City

3 - 0

Dundalk

IRE PR

16/04/2023 10:00

Dundalk

2 - 2

Derry City

IRE PR

Dundalk

Draw

50%

Derry City

50%

Dundalk Last 6 matches

04/10/2024 14:45

Galway United 1 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

27/09/2024 14:45

Dundalk 0 - 2 Bohemians IRE PR

21/09/2024 14:45

Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

13/09/2024 14:45

Waterford United 2 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

05/09/2024 14:45

Dundalk 1 - 2 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

30/08/2024 14:45

Dundalk 0 - 1 Shelbourne IRE PR

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Derry City

14/10/2024 14:15

Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers IRE PR

11/10/2024 14:45

Derry City 1 - 1 Bohemians IRE PR

04/10/2024 14:45

Bohemians 0 - 2 Derry City IRFAIC

27/09/2024 14:45

Drogheda United 2 - 1 Derry City IRE PR

20/09/2024 14:45

Derry City 1 - 1 Shamrock Rovers IRE PR

14/09/2024 12:45

Derry City 2 - 0 Shelbourne IRFAIC

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ireland Premier Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

223

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

238

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

136

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 278 matches

YesNo

149 (54%)129 (46%)

In last 278 matches

NoYes

162 (60%)108 (40%)

Dundalk

Recent matches

Derry City

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Dundalk

Derry City

Shots

Dundalk

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

267 total

Avg. 4.05

Derry City

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

283 total

Avg. 3.63

Dundalk Pass Derry City

Total passes

31396

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

68%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

49148

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Dundalk

278

Played games

Derry City

270

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

104

0.39

5.09

1416

Corners

1470

5.44

3.50

974

Throw-ins

1819

6.74

0.55

152

Offsides

218

0.81

1.71

476

GK saves

496

1.84

Dundalk

DISCIPLINARY

Derry City

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

541

522

1.93

0.09

0.09

5.24

1456

Fouls

1777

6.58

4.18

1163

Tackles

1398

5.18

NEXT MATCHES

St. Patricks Athletic

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Dundalk vs Derry City on 18 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ireland Premier Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Dundalk vs Derry City Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Dundalk's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derry City's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ireland Premier Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ireland Premier Division standings and the Ireland Premier Division form table to understand exactly where Dundalk and Derry City sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ireland Premier Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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