Derthona vs Castanese: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

Derthona
DDWLD
No standing data
1 - 0
FT
14/05/2023 10:00
Castanese
LDLDW
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derthona vs Castanese on 14 May 2023 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derthona vs Castanese preview before placing your bet.

  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Derthona and Castanese have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2023
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Derthona and Castanese in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2023 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
12/03/2023 09:30
Castanese Castanese
1 - 0
Derthona Derthona
ITA S4
06/11/2022 09:30
Derthona Derthona
3 - 0
Castanese Castanese
ITA S4
Derthona
1
50%
Draw
0
0%
Castanese
1
50%
Derthona Derthona Last 6 matches
07/05/2023 09:00
Fossano Calcio 3 - 3 Derthona ITA S4
30/04/2023 09:00
Derthona 0 - 0 Chieri ITA S4
23/04/2023 09:00
USD Pont Donnaz 1 - 2 Derthona ITA S4
16/04/2023 09:00
Derthona 1 - 3 Borgosesia ITA S4
06/04/2023 09:00
USD Castellanzese 3 - 3 Derthona ITA S4
02/04/2023 09:00
Asti 2 - 1 Derthona ITA S4
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Castanese Castanese
07/05/2023 09:00
Ligorna 2 - 1 Castanese ITA S4
30/04/2023 09:00
Castanese 1 - 1 Stresa Vergante ITA S4
23/04/2023 09:00
FC Vado 2 - 0 Castanese ITA S4
16/04/2023 09:00
Castanese 3 - 3 Chieri ITA S4
06/04/2023 09:00
As Casale Calcio 0 - 2 Castanese ITA S4
02/04/2023 09:00
Castanese 2 - 1 USD Pont Donnaz ITA S4
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Derthona
Derthona
215
 Castanese
Castanese
39
Goals
Scored
105
Avg. per game
0.49
Conceded
125
Avg. per game
0.58
Scored
16
Avg. per game
0.41
Conceded
24
Avg. per game
0.62
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 215 matches
YesNo
82 (38%)133 (62%)
In last 215 matches
NoYes
15 (38%)24 (62%)
Derthona

Derthona

Recent matches

Castanese

Castanese

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(72%)28 11(28%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(28%)11 28(72%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)17 22(56%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)19 20(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Derthona Derthona
Castanese Castanese
Shots
Derthona
Derthona
Total shots
10.34 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Castanese
Castanese
Total shots
10.33 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Derthona Derthona Pass Castanese Castanese
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
55%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Derthona
Derthona
12702
Avg. 59.08 / game
 Castanese
Castanese
1020
Avg. 26.15 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Derthona
Derthona
6977
Avg. 32.45 / game
 Castanese
Castanese
608
Avg. 15.59 / game
OTHERS
Derthona
Derthona
215
Played games
Castanese
Castanese
39
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.26
56
Clean sheets
9
0.23
2.67
574
Corners
42
1.08
0.13
29
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.21
45
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Derthona
Derthona
DISCIPLINARY
Castanese
Castanese
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.58
340
Yellow card
15
0.38
0.13
27
Red card
0
0.00
1.09
234
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Derthona vs Castanese Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derthona vs Castanese on 14 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derthona vs Castanese Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derthona's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Castanese's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Derthona and Castanese sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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