Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 15

Derry City

L W D D W

2nd place in Ireland Premier Division

3 - 0

15/05/2023 14:45

Dundalk

W W L W W

5th place in Ireland Premier Division

Ireland Premier Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk on May 15, 2023 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derry City vs Dundalk preview before placing for you.

Derry City are currently 2nd with 65 points after 36 matches.
Dundalk sit 5th with 58 points from 36 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Dundalk, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Derry City have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 15/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Shamrock Rovers	72	36	20	12	4	67	27	40
02 Derry City	65	36	18	11	7	57	24	33
03 St. Patricks Athletic	62	36	19	5	12	59	42	17
04 Shelbourne	60	36	15	15	6	44	27	17
05 Dundalk	58	36	17	7	12	59	44	15
06 Bohemians	58	36	16	10	10	53	40	13
07 Drogheda United	41	36	10	11	15	40	54	-14
08 Sligo Rovers	37	36	10	7	19	36	51	-15
09 Cork City	31	36	8	7	21	35	64	-29
10 UC Dublin	11	36	2	5	29	19	96	-77

Head To Head

16/04/2023 10:00

Dundalk

2 - 2

Derry City

IRE PR

10/03/2023 15:45

Derry City

0 - 0

Dundalk

IRE PR

06/11/2022 15:00

Derry City

0 - 1

Dundalk

IRE PR

05/08/2022 14:45

Dundalk

1 - 1

Derry City

IRE PR

20/05/2022 14:45

Derry City

1 - 2

Dundalk

IRE PR

18/02/2022 15:45

Dundalk

2 - 2

Derry City

IRE PR

Derry City

Draw

67%

Dundalk

33%

Derry City Last 6 matches

12/05/2023 14:45

Bohemians 0 - 1 Derry City IRE PR

05/05/2023 14:45

Drogheda United 0 - 1 Derry City IRE PR

01/05/2023 14:15

Derry City 0 - 2 Shamrock Rovers IRE PR

28/04/2023 14:45

Derry City 2 - 0 St. Patricks Athletic IRE PR

21/04/2023 14:45

Cork City 1 - 3 Derry City IRE PR

16/04/2023 10:00

Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City IRE PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Dundalk

12/05/2023 14:45

Dundalk 2 - 1 Cork City IRE PR

06/05/2023 14:45

Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

01/05/2023 11:59

UC Dublin 0 - 2 Dundalk IRE PR

28/04/2023 14:45

Dundalk 3 - 2 Drogheda United IRE PR

21/04/2023 14:45

Shelbourne 1 - 1 Dundalk IRE PR

16/04/2023 10:00

Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry City IRE PR

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ireland Premier Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

238

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

136

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

223

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 270 matches

YesNo

162 (60%)108 (40%)

In last 270 matches

NoYes

149 (54%)129 (46%)

Derry City

Recent matches

Dundalk

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(71%)32 13(29%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derry City

Dundalk

Shots

Derry City

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

283 total

Avg. 3.63

Dundalk

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

267 total

Avg. 4.05

Derry City Pass Dundalk

Total passes

49148

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

31396

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

68%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derry City

270

Played games

Dundalk

278

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.39

104

Clean sheets

0.30

5.44

1470

Corners

1416

5.09

6.74

1819

Throw-ins

974

3.50

0.81

218

Offsides

152

0.55

1.84

496

GK saves

476

1.71

Derry City

DISCIPLINARY

Dundalk

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.93

522

541

1.95

0.09

0.09

6.58

1777

Fouls

1456

5.24

5.18

1398

Tackles

1163

4.18

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

St. Patricks Athletic

How We Build the Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk on 15 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ireland Premier Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derry City vs Dundalk Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derry City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Dundalk's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ireland Premier Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ireland Premier Division standings and the Ireland Premier Division form table to understand exactly where Derry City and Dundalk sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ireland Premier Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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