Derby County vs Watford: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 November

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

2-3

22/11/2025 11:00

Watford

D L L L L

16th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Watford on 22 November 2025 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Watford preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 8th with 69 points after 46 matches.
Watford sit 16th with 57 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Watford, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2025-11-22

Derby County vs Watford - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Watford

2025-11-22 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 22/11/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

18/01/2025 11:00

Derby County

0 - 2

Watford

ENG LCH

24/08/2024 10:00

Watford

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

19/02/2021 15:45

Watford

2 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

16/10/2020 14:45

Derby County

0 - 1

Watford

ENG LCH

03/04/2015 14:45

Derby County

2 - 2

Watford

ENG LCH

22/11/2014 11:00

Watford

1 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

Derby County

17%

Draw

17%

Watford

67%

Derby County Last 6 matches

08/11/2025 08:30

Blackburn Rovers 1 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

04/11/2025 15:45

Derby County 2 - 1 Hull City ENG LCH

01/11/2025 11:00

Sheffield United 1 - 3 Derby County ENG LCH

25/10/2025 10:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

21/10/2025 14:45

Derby County 1 - 0 Norwich City ENG LCH

18/10/2025 07:30

Oxford United 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Watford

07/11/2025 16:00

Watford 1 - 1 Bristol City ENG LCH

04/11/2025 15:45

Ipswich Town 1 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

01/11/2025 11:00

Watford 3 - 0 Middlesbrough ENG LCH

25/10/2025 07:30

Coventry City 3 - 1 Watford ENG LCH

22/10/2025 14:45

Watford 2 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

18/10/2025 10:00

Sheffield United 1 - 0 Watford ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

223

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

206

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored

200

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

208

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

160 (53%)140 (47%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

147 (49%)153 (51%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Watford

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Watford

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Watford

Total shots

11.93 avg / game

Blocked

821 total

Avg. 3.41

Derby County Pass Watford

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

111723

Avg. 417 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

300

Played games

Watford

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.28

5.08

1524

Corners

1499

5.00

21.28

6384

Throw-ins

5842

19.47

1.87

562

Offsides

431

1.44

2.28

684

GK saves

778

2.59

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Watford

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

527

565

1.88

0.05

0.07

9.97

2991

Fouls

3270

10.90

12.24

3673

Tackles

4027

13.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Watford Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Watford on 22 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Watford Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Watford's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Watford sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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