Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

0-1

21/01/2025 15:45

Sunderland A.F.C

D L L L L

4th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C on 21 January 2025 (kick-off: 15:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C preview before placing your bet.

Derby County are currently 19th with 50 points after 46 matches.
Sunderland A.F.C sit 4th with 76 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Sunderland A.F.C to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Sunderland A.F.C, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:45

2025-01-21

Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C - Prediction & Odds

Derby County

Sunderland A.F.C

2025-01-21 15:45

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

01/10/2024 14:45

Sunderland A.F.C

2 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

30/03/2018 14:45

Derby County

1 - 4

Sunderland A.F.C

ENG LCH

04/08/2017 14:45

Sunderland A.F.C

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

08/08/2012 14:45

Derby County

1 - 1

Sunderland A.F.C

INT CF

01/03/2008 11:00

Derby County

0 - 0

Sunderland A.F.C

ENG PR

01/12/2007 11:00

Sunderland A.F.C

1 - 0

Derby County

ENG PR

Derby County

Draw

50%

Sunderland A.F.C

50%

Derby County Last 6 matches

18/01/2025 11:00

Derby County 0 - 2 Watford ENG LCH

14/01/2025 15:45

Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Derby County ENG FAC

04/01/2025 11:00

Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

01/01/2025 11:00

Sheffield Wednesday 4 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

29/12/2024 13:45

Derby County 0 - 1 Leeds United ENG LCH

26/12/2024 13:30

Derby County 2 - 1 West Bromwich(WBA) ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Sunderland A.F.C

17/01/2025 16:00

Burnley 0 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

11/01/2025 11:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 1 Stoke City ENG FAC

05/01/2025 11:00

Sunderland A.F.C 1 - 0 Portsmouth ENG LCH

01/01/2025 16:00

Sunderland A.F.C 2 - 1 Sheffield United ENG LCH

29/12/2024 11:00

Stoke City 1 - 0 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

26/12/2024 11:00

Blackburn Rovers 2 - 2 Sunderland A.F.C ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Derby County

Sunderland A.F.C

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

9 (39%)14 (61%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

12 (50%)12 (50%)

Derby County

Recent matches

Sunderland A.F.C

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)14 10(42%)

Under /Over

(17%)4 19(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)7 17(71%)

Under /Over

(30%)7 16(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)7 17(71%)

/Yes

(30%)7 16(70%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)10 14(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Derby County

Sunderland A.F.C

Shots

Derby County

Total shots

12.00 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

Sunderland A.F.C

Total shots

15.04 avg / game

Blocked

101 total

Avg. 5.61

Derby County Pass Sunderland A.F.C

Total passes

7539

Avg. 328 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

10925

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Derby County

Played games

Sunderland A.F.C

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

Clean sheets

0.38

5.30

122

Corners

145

6.04

23.87

549

Throw-ins

477

19.88

1.91

Offsides

1.79

2.22

GK saves

1.63

Derby County

DISCIPLINARY

Sunderland A.F.C

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.74

2.13

0.00

0.04

11.61

267

Fouls

245

10.21

18.30

421

Tackles

390

16.25

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C on 21 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Derby County vs Sunderland A.F.C Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Derby County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sunderland A.F.C's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Derby County and Sunderland A.F.C sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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